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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 190116 AAA
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH A WARM AND HUMID AIR
MASS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION...TO PRODUCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200230-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (+1) 76-81 (+5) 58-63 81-86
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (-2) 52-57 (-14) 94-99 45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 6 SW 7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 6 SW 7 S 5 SW 8 G15
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 30 30
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.45 0.08 0.07
LAL 2 4 3 3
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 14
DISPERSION 16 GEN POOR 46 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200230-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (+2) 74-79 (+4) 57-62 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (+3) 52-57 (-9) 94-99 45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 6 G15 SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 7
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 40 40
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.49 0.11 0.11
LAL 2 4 3 3
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3600 6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 W 13
DISPERSION 7 POOR 34 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-200230-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (+2) 74-79 (+4) 57-62 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (+3) 51-56 (-10) 94-99 45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 SW 8
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 S 6 SW 7 G17
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 40 30
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.21 0.28 0.08 0.10
LAL 2 4 3 3
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 14
DISPERSION 8 POOR 34 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-200230-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (0) 76-81 (+3) 58-63 81-86
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (+1) 51-56 (-8) 94-99 45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 SW 7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) S 6 S 5 S 6 SW 8
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 40 20
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.19 0.30 0.09 0.11
LAL 2 4 3 3
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 14
DISPERSION 13 GEN POOR 44 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-200230-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (0) 76-81 (+4) 57-62 81-86
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (+2) 50-55 (-10) 94-99 43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 7 G16
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 40 30
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.30 0.10 0.15
LAL 2 4 3 3
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 13
DISPERSION 11 POOR 40 FAIR
MAX LVORI 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (0) 77-82 (+4) 58-63 82-87
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (0) 51-56 (-11) 94-99 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 SW 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 7
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 70 40 30
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.17 0.38 0.08 0.08
LAL 2 4 3 3
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 15
DISPERSION 19 GEN POOR 47 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-65 (0) 78-83 (+4) 60-65 83-88
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (0) 51-56 (-12) 94-99 45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 SW 7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 S 5 SW 8 G16
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 30 20
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.22 0.06 0.04
LAL 2 4 3 3
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 17
DISPERSION 17 GEN POOR 57 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200230-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
916 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013 /816 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013/
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 61-66 (+1) 79-84 (+3) 61-66 84-89
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (-1) 52-57 (-8) 94-99 47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 SW 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 5 S 7 G16 S 6 S 8 G15
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 30 20
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.26 0.08 0.04
LAL 2 4 3 2
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2700 5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 16
DISPERSION 17 GEN POOR 58 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Morristown, TN Weather Forecast Office
- 5974 Commerce Blvd.
- Morristown, TN 37814
- (423) 586-3771
- Page Author: MRX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: sr-mrx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: May 1st, 2013 15:31 UTC