Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 181901
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
For the rest of the week, dry weather with gradually
warming temperatures can be expected. The next chance of rain will
arrive late Sunday or Sunday night.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (+3)   69-74 (+2)   39-44        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+6)   29-34 (-2)   95-100       30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  5                     NE  3
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (+1)   66-71 (+2)   39-44        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+6)   28-33 (-6)   78-83        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  5                     NE  3
Dispersion                         9 Poor                    7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain and slight chance of
snow. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to
mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-192015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (0)    66-71 (+2)   42-47        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+2)   28-33 (-8)   66-71        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      NE  3
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               4 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-192015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (+2)   70-75 (+2)   40-45        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (-2)   28-33 (-5)   95-100       32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                N  3                      NE  1
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               2 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-192015-
Nantahala National Forest-
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    70-75 (+1)   38-43        73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  27-32 (-5)   90-95        31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  2                     SE  2
DISPERSION                         5 Very poor               5 Very poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192015-
East Tennessee District East-
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (+2)   71-76 (+3)   39-44        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  29-34 (-4)   92-97        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)                W  3                      NE  5
Dispersion                         8 Poor                    7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192015-
East Tennessee District West-
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (+2)   70-75 (+3)   41-46        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (-3)   29-34 (-8)   91-96        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  2                     E  3
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid
70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-192015-
Cumberland District South-
301 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017 /201 PM CDT Wed Oct 18 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (+3)   71-76 (+3)   41-46        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (-5)   28-33 (-6)   95-100       31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3400                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                E  1                      NE  3
Dispersion                         3 Very poor               5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.

$$



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