Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 180738
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT...AND UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES...WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. THE SHOWERS GRADUALLY TAPER OFF LATE TONIGHT...WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BRINGING DRY WEATHER BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 70-75 (-7) 56-61 (-6) 75-80
RH % (24H TREND) 65-70 (-2) 93-98 (-2) 47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 20
PRECIP DURATION 8 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.91 0.11 0.03
LAL 3 3 2
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 7200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 N 8
DISPERSION 16 GEN POOR 37 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 71-76 (-4) 56-61 (-5) 73-78
RH % (24H TREND) 60-65 (-2) 88-93 (-5) 45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 60 20
PRECIP DURATION 8 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.97 0.24 0.03
LAL 3 3 2
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 7400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 5 N 10
DISPERSION 9 POOR 42 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-190845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 71-76 (-3) 57-62 (-3) 74-79
RH % (24H TREND) 59-64 (-5) 82-87 (-11) 43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 G15 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 20
PRECIP DURATION 8 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.92 0.19 0.02
LAL 3 3 2
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5100 7500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 N 13
DISPERSION 23 FAIR 46 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-190845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 73-78 (-4) 58-63 (-4) 78-83
RH % (24H TREND) 64-69 (-2) 92-97 (-2) 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 10
PRECIP DURATION 8 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.93 0.16 0.01
LAL 3 3 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 7400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 N 14
DISPERSION 38 FAIR 61 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-190845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 73-78 (-4) 59-64 (-1) 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 64-69 (-6) 87-92 (-10) 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR NW 7
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 20
PRECIP DURATION 8 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.95 0.19 0.02
LAL 3 3 2
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 7900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 N 15
DISPERSION 45 GEN GOOD 74 GOOD
MAX LVORI 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 75-80 (-4) 57-62 (-6) 78-83
RH % (24H TREND) 58-63 (-2) 92-97 (-1) 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 20
PRECIP DURATION 8 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.85 0.14 0.01
LAL 3 3 2
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 7100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 N 8
DISPERSION 19 GEN POOR 39 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 76-81 (-4) 59-64 (-5) 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 56-61 (-6) 89-94 (-3) 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 30 0
PRECIP DURATION 8 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.80 0.09 0.00
LAL 3 3 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4300 7000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 N 9
DISPERSION 43 GEN GOOD 43 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
338 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013 /238 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013/
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 76-81 (-5) 61-66 (-3) 81-86
RH % (24H TREND) 54-59 (-6) 88-93 (-5) 38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 30 0
PRECIP DURATION 8 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.77 0.09 0.00
LAL 3 3 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 7300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 NW 12
DISPERSION 56 GEN GOOD 60 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$