Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 130913
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The very cold air over the Southern Appalachian Region
will warm slightly today and tonight.  A weak weather disturbance
moving through the Ohio Valley may bring a few flurries to the
higher elevations of Southwest VA and Northeast TN.  This
disturbance will also increase winds across the area late this
afternoon and tonight.  A Wind Advisory will be in effect for the
East TN Mountains.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (+1)   24-29 (+11)  36-41
RH % (24h trend)      29-34 (-16)  91-96 (+20)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G20                  NW  7 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G29    SW 15 G34    LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         snow showers NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       1 AM
Precip end                         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3600                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1600                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     W  7
Dispersion            25 Fair                   14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G20                  NW 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 15 G29    SW 17 G34    NW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 20s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      33-38 (+1)   22-27 (+11)  34-39
RH % (24h trend)      30-35 (-19)  84-89 (+11)  49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 11 G30                  NW 11 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G32    SW 17 G42    NW  7 G18
Precip type           NONE         snow showers snow showers
Chance precip (%)     0            20           20
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   10 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   700                       1700
Transport wnd (mph)   W 18                      NW  9
Dispersion            10 Poor                   13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 14 G30                  NW 15 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 16 G32    SW 21 G42    NW  8 G18

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 20s to lower 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 19 to 26. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-141015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (+3)   25-30 (+13)  37-42
RH % (24h trend)      31-36 (-18)  83-88 (+14)  46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G26                  NW  6 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 14 G41    SW 17 G46    NW  6 G16
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   900                       1500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     W  9
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 12 G26                  NW  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 18 G41    SW 22 G46    NW  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 20s to lower 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 19 to 27. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Highs in the upper 30s to
lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 30s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-141015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (+4)   26-31 (+10)  43-48
RH % (24h trend)      30-35 (-15)  87-92 (+25)  43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  7 G20                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G31     SW 13 G31    NW  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3700                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W  8
Dispersion            20 Gen poor               15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  9 G20                  N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G31     SW 17 G31    NW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. North winds
less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s to mid 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-141015-
Nantahala National Forest-
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

CLOUD COVER           MClear       MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   25-30 (+10)  45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-17)  91-96 (+26)  43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G19                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G29    SW 13 G32    W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   1600                      2100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W  9
DISPERSION            18 Gen poor               16 Gen poor
MAX LVORI             3                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G29    SW 17 G32    W  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s to mid 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the mid to upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141015-
East Tennessee District East-
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-1)   26-31 (+11)  40-45
RH % (24h trend)      29-34 (-12)  78-83 (+16)  45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G21                 W  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G26    SW 13 G29    W  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1800                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     W  7
Dispersion            28 Fair                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 10 G21                 W 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 14 G26    SW 17 G29    W  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141015-
East Tennessee District West-
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (+3)   28-33 (+11)  41-46
RH % (24h trend)      27-32 (-9)   79-84 (+21)  43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G21                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G30    SW 13 G29    LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2200                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     NW  6
Dispersion            36 Fair                   15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  9 G21                 NW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 16 G30    SW 16 G29    NW  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-141015-
Cumberland District South-
413 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017 /313 AM CST Wed Dec 13 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (+4)   29-34 (+10)  43-48
RH % (24h trend)      28-33 (-11)  79-84 (+21)  42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G20                 N  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G28    SW 11 G29    NW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2300                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     NW  7
Dispersion            36 Fair                   16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G20                 N  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 16 G28    SW 15 G29    NW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 20s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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