Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 162028
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather is expected through Friday, then showers move
in for Saturday and Saturday night.  Temperatures will be turning
cooler by Sunday.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172130-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (-9)   54-59 (+2)   38-43        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (-8)   20-25 (-19)  88-93        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G35
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  6 G18     SW 17 G37
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            50
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 10 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1500                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      SW 28
Dispersion                         7 Poor                    56 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 15 G35
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     SW 21 G37

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain. Highs in the lower
30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172130-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (-5)   55-60 (+4)   36-41        59-64
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (-7)   23-28 (-18)  87-92        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G34
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G19    LGT/VAR      S  9 G25     S 14 G35
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 4 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      SW 24
Dispersion                         8 Poor                    40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 15 G34
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G19    S  5         S 11 G25     S 17 G35

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the lower 30s to mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-172130-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (-5)   55-60 (+3)   40-45        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (-9)   32-37 (-9)   93-98        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 19 G50
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S 11 G35     SW 20 G51
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            50
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 10 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1500                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  7                     SW 38
Dispersion                         8 Poor                    44 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 24 G50
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6         SW  5        S 14 G35     SW 26 G51

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to
25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-172130-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (-9)   58-63 (0)    42-47        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  36-41 (-3)   91-96        58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 16 G38
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  6         S  7 G17     S 11 G30     S 17 G39
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            60
Precip duration                                              2
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      S 35
Dispersion                         15 Gen poor               46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5                     S 20 G38
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  7         S  8 G17     S 13 G30     S 22 G39

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-172130-
Nantahala National Forest-
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-9)   57-62 (-3)   39-44        61-66
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  38-43 (+4)   95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G33
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         S  6 G15     S  9 G24     S 14 G34
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 10 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1700                      1200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 29
DISPERSION                         15 Gen poor               31 Fair
MAX LVORI                          4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     S 16 G33
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         S  8         S 11 G24     S 18 G34

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172130-
East Tennessee District East-
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (-8)   57-62 (+2)   40-45        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-2)   25-30 (-15)  87-92        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G31
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 16 G37
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 10 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3000                      3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1500                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                S  3                      S 22
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G31
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         SW 20 G37

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 30s. West winds 5 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the 20s. West winds
less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172130-
East Tennessee District West-
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      30-35 (-10)  57-62 (+2)   44-49        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (-1)   31-36 (-12)  90-95        59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 14 G38
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  7 G26     SW 17 G40
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            70
Precip duration                                              2
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2900                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     S 32
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor               56 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 18 G38
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6         SW  5        S  9 G26     SW 22 G40

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 30s. West winds 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to
10 mph after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the 20s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-172130-
Cumberland District South-
328 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017 /228 PM CST Thu Nov 16 2017/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      33-38 (-7)   59-64 (+2)   45-50        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-1)   36-41 (-6)   90-95        60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 15 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         S  5 G15     S  9 G27     S 16 G39
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            80
Precip duration                                              3
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI/Haines                        4                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2700                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      S 33
Dispersion                         17 Gen poor               56 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 19 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  7         S  7 G15     S 12 G27     S 21 G39

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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