Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 151903
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Increased moisture across the region coupled with a series of low
pressure systems will result in the possibility of showers and
thunderstorms for the next few days. Coverage for the most part
will be scattered in nature...with the greatest coverage occurring
during the afternoon and evening hours.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-2)   82-87 (+5)   64-69        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (-10)  95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         2 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            12 AM        Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.07         0.03         0.14
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)                W  7                      SW 14
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (-2)   78-83 (+3)   63-68        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  58-63 (-9)   95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  5
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            4 AM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.07         0.02         0.17
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     W  9
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-162015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (0)    79-84 (+4)   63-68        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   58-63 (-10)  95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            4 AM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.10         0.01         0.18
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 10
Dispersion                         28 Fair                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  7         W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to lower
70s. West winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 60s to upper
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 60s to upper
80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-162015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-2)   83-88 (+3)   66-71        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   55-60 (-8)   95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           0            30
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         11 AM                     8 AM
Precip end            4 AM         8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.08         0.00         0.18
LAL                   3            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W  9
Dispersion                         36 Fair                   29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-162015-
Nantahala National Forest-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   83-88 (+3)   65-70        84-89
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   58-63 (-5)   95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         11 AM                     8 AM
PRECIP END            4 AM         8 PM                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.00         0.16
LAL                   3            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W  9
DISPERSION                         35 Fair                   26 Fair
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162015-
East Tennessee District East-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (-2)   83-88 (+3)   66-71        85-90
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (-7)   95-100       55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            4 AM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.08         0.02         0.10
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     SW 13
Dispersion                         32 Fair                   49 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Light
winds becoming southwest less than 10 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s to lower 90s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162015-
East Tennessee District West-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (-1)   85-90 (+5)   68-73        86-91
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (-9)   95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            4 AM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.10         0.02         0.10
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 13
Dispersion                         43 Gen good               49 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
West winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s to lower 90s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s to lower 90s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the 80s to lower
90s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-162015-
Cumberland District South-
303 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017 /203 PM CDT Tue Aug 15 2017/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+1)   86-91 (+4)   70-75        87-92
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   55-60 (-7)   95-100       57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           0            30
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         11 AM                     8 AM
Precip end            4 AM         8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.10         0.00         0.12
LAL                   3            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     SW  9
Dispersion                         38 Fair                   36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 70. West winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the 80s to lower
90s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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