Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 270716
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY AS A COOL FRONT BUILDS INTO
THE REGION. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL GENERALLY BE WARM AND
DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND JUST AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280830-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (-5)   47-52 (-6)   80-85
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (+14)  95-100 (+9)  30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G22                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      S  8 G18
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           20           0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM
Precip amount         0.19         0.01         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4900                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 25                     S 10
Dispersion            63 Good                   14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G22                  SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G23    LGT/VAR      S 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid
60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280830-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (-6)   48-53 (-4)   76-81
RH % (24h trend)      62-67 (+15)  95-100 (+10) 35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G21                  S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      S  8 G20
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           20           0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM
Precip amount         0.14         0.01         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      S 12
Dispersion            45 Gen good               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G21                  S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G20    W  5         S 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-280830-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (-8)   50-55 (-3)   76-81
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (+12)  84-89 (-1)   34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G29                  S  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      S 11 G25
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           20           0
Precip duration       4            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM
Precip amount         0.26         0.01         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 29                     S 17
Dispersion            46 Gen good               13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G29                  S 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G23    SW  5 G16    S 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 50s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-280830-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (-8)   51-56 (-3)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+9)   89-94 (0)    41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G27                  S  9 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G21    LGT/VAR      S 12 G25
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           20           0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM
Precip amount         0.27         0.01         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 25                      S 20
Dispersion            61 Good                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G27                  S 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      S 15 G25

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower
70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-280830-
Nantahala National Forest-
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-8)   49-54 (-3)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+14)  91-96 (-4)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  SE  7 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      S 10 G22
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.01         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 15
DISPERSION            48 Gen good               17 Gen poor
MAX LVORI             4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  SE  9 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      S 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower
70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280830-
East Tennessee District East-
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (-7)   48-53 (-6)   82-87
RH % (24h trend)      58-63 (+14)  95-100 (+10) 31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G16                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      S  7 G15
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           20           0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   11 PM
Precip amount         0.16         0.01         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     S  9
Dispersion            71 Good                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G16                  SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      S  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s
to upper 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280830-
East Tennessee District West-
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (-6)   49-54 (-9)   81-86
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (+7)   91-96 (+13)  37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G20                  SE  6 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      S  9 G23
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           0            0
Precip duration       5
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.23         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4900                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 28                     S 17
Dispersion            86 Good                   34 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G20                  SE  7 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G22    LGT/VAR      S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s
to upper 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Cooler. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-280830-
Cumberland District South-
316 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017 /216 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (-6)   51-56 (-9)   81-86
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (+4)   92-97 (+12)  44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G22                 S  6 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      S 11 G24
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           0            0
Precip duration       3
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            8 PM
Precip amount         0.18         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4900                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     S 21
Dispersion            74 Good                   42 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 11 G22                 S  8 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      S 14 G24

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Cooler. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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