Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 112017
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

.DISCUSSION...
...Dangerous Wind Chills across the higher Elevations Tuesday Night...

Next cold front pushes through the area tonight
bringing another shot of cold air. Snow flurries are possible
through Tuesday afternoon with temperatures expected to remain about
ten degrees below normal through the middle of the work week.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122130-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      30-35 (+8)   32-37 (-17)  13-18        29-34
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+4)   40-45 (+2)   68-73        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 13 G30                  W 10 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G28    W 14 G30     NW 12 G30    W  8 G22
Precip type           snow showers snow showers snow showers NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           40           20           0
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          4 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.04         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2800                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 26                      W 17
Dispersion                         63 Good                   35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 17 G30                  W 12 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G28    W 18 G30     NW 16 G30    W 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the mid
20s to lower 30s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Highs in the 20s to
upper 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122130-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+8)   31-36 (-14)  11-16        26-31
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+8)   45-50 (+1)   69-74        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 17 G39                  NW 13 G33
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G31    W 17 G39     NW 18 G42    W  9 G26
Precip type           snow showers snow showers snow showers NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           60           30           0
Precip duration       1            2            1
Precip begin          4 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.08         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 31                      W 22
Dispersion                         47 Gen good               29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 21 G39                  NW 17 G33
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G31    W 22 G39     NW 23 G42    W 11 G26

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 19 to 25. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the 20s
to lower 30s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Highs in the 20s to
upper 30s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Lows around 30. Highs in
the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-122130-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (+4)   31-36 (-15)  12-17        31-36
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+9)   44-49 (-1)   71-76        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 15 G37                 W  9 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 14 G40    W 15 G36     NW 14 G37    W  8 G20
Precip type           snow showers snow showers snow showers NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           50           20           0
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          4 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.02         0.09         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2000                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 28                     W 16
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 19 G37                 W 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 18 G40    W 19 G36     NW 18 G37    W 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the 20s
to lower 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Highs in the
upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Not as
cool. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-122130-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+7)   35-40 (-15)  17-22        35-40
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (0)    42-47 (-1)   66-71        31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 13 G29                 NW  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G26     NW 13 G28    NW 10 G27    W  6
Precip type           NONE         flurries     NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip duration                    3
Precip begin                       7 AM
Precip end                         7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2600                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 24                     W 12
Dispersion                         51 Gen good               15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 16 G29                 NW  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G26     NW 16 G28    NW 12 G27    W  8

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 20s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow.
Lows in the 20s to lower 30s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Not as
cool. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-122130-
Nantahala National Forest-
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+7)   36-41 (-13)  16-21        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   43-48 (-3)   70-75        34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G34                 NW  8 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G23    NW 14 G32    NW 12 G32    W  7 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         flurries     NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                2200                      1600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 14
DISPERSION                         46 Gen good               17 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 17 G34                 NW 11 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G23    NW 18 G32    NW 15 G32    W  8 G17

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow.
Lows in the mid to upper 20s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Not as
cool. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows around 30.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122130-
East Tennessee District East-
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (+10)  35-40 (-15)  16-21        32-37
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (0)    39-44 (-2)   67-72        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 13 G29                  W  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G24     W 15 G33     W 12 G29     W  7 G18
Precip type           NONE         snow showers snow showers NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            30           0            0
Precip duration                    3
Precip begin                       7 AM
Precip end                         Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2900                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 26                      W 16
Dispersion                         65 Good                   36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 16 G29                  W 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G24     W 19 G33     W 15 G29     W  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and slight chance
of rain. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Highs in the 30s to
lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122130-
East Tennessee District West-
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (+6)   35-40 (-16)  17-22        34-39
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+10)  38-43 (-2)   67-72        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 11 G28                 W  6
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G26    W 13 G28     NW  9 G24    SW  7
Precip type           NONE         flurries     NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip duration                    5
Precip begin                       Continuing
Precip end                         7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3200                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 23                     W 12
Dispersion                         65 Good                   21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 14 G28                 W  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 14 G26    W 16 G28     NW 11 G24    SW  8

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s to lower
30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow.
Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow and slight chance of
rain. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Not as cool.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-122130-
Cumberland District South-
317 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2017 /217 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2017/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (+6)   37-42 (-15)  18-23        38-43
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+7)   39-44 (-2)   70-75        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 12 G30                 NW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G23    NW 13 G29    NW  7 G23    W  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3200                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 24                     W 10
Dispersion                         67 Good                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 15 G30                 NW  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G23    NW 16 G29    NW 10 G23    W  7

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow.
Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the 30s to mid 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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