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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 160938
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST TODAY...WHICH
WILL ALLOW MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS
MOISTURE AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT...WILL LEAD TO INCREASING
RAIN CHANCES. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO
DEVELOP BY MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 79-84 (+1) 61-66 (+4) 77-82
RH % (24H TREND) 45-50 (+6) 91-96 (+8) 51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 6 G15 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 7 G15 SW 5 LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 60
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.14 0.27
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6300 6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 W 7
DISPERSION 84 GOOD 27 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 78-83 (+2) 60-65 (+2) 74-79
RH % (24H TREND) 41-46 (+2) 88-93 (+10) 51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 G16 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 6 G16 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 60
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.18 0.29
LAL 3 4 3
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7700 7300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 W 10
DISPERSION 76 GOOD 40 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-171030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 77-82 (+1) 61-66 (+4) 74-79
RH % (24H TREND) 39-44 (+1) 83-88 (+12) 49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 60
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.15 0.39
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7300 7100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 W 8
DISPERSION 50 GEN GOOD 27 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-171030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 80-85 (0) 63-68 (+6) 78-83
RH % (24H TREND) 43-48 (+4) 87-92 (+5) 52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 60
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.10 0.45
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6300 6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 7
DISPERSION 44 GEN GOOD 26 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-171030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 80-85 (+1) 62-67 (+7) 78-83
RH % (24H TREND) 39-44 (0) 84-89 (+4) 50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 60
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.10 0.45
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7300 7300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 W 7
DISPERSION 46 GEN GOOD 29 FAIR
MAX LVORI 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 81-86 (+1) 62-67 (+3) 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 42-47 (+5) 89-94 (+9) 49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 60
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.07 0.32
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 W 7
DISPERSION 69 GOOD 30 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 82-87 (-1) 64-69 (+3) 80-85
RH % (24H TREND) 44-49 (+8) 90-95 (+10) 51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 70
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.10 0.41
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 SW 6
DISPERSION 61 GOOD 25 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
538 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 2013 /438 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013/
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 83-88 (0) 65-70 (+4) 81-86
RH % (24H TREND) 43-48 (+7) 90-95 (+7) 49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 70
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.07 0.50
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5600 6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 8
DISPERSION 51 GEN GOOD 34 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TG/TD
- National Weather Service
- Morristown, TN Weather Forecast Office
- 5974 Commerce Blvd.
- Morristown, TN 37814
- (423) 586-3771
- Page Author: MRX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: sr-mrx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Jun 3rd, 2013 15:31 UTC