Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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369
FNUS54 KMRX 280137
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
OVERNIGHT, THEN MOVE EAST OF THE AREA FOR FRIDAY. THE RETURN OF
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SUNSHINE FRIDAY WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
WARM NICELY BY AFTERNOON.  SUMMER-LIKE TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND STORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290245-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (-2)   80-85 (+9)   57-62        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  30-35 (-26)  92-97        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G21    S  8 G20     SW  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            10
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW 21
Dispersion                         44 Gen good               78 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    S 10 G20     SW 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290245-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-2)   79-84 (+11)  58-63        79-84
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+6)   30-35 (-31)  90-95        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G19     S  8 G20     S  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      7500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW 17
Dispersion                         33 Fair                   71 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  5                      SW  9 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     S 10 G20     S 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-290245-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (-2)   77-82 (+11)  58-63        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+9)  34-39 (-31)  87-92        39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G23                  SW 10 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G28    S 10 G25     S 10 G24
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      7100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      S 24
Dispersion                         36 Fair                   84 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G23                  SW 12 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 15 G28    S 13 G25     S 13 G24

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Highs in the
50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 50s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-290245-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (-3)   80-85 (+11)  60-65        81-86
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  40-45 (-20)  90-95        40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G21                  S 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G25    S  9 G22     S 11 G24
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            20
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       2 PM                      2 PM
Precip end                         8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            2            1            2
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4900                      7000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 22                      S 26
Dispersion                         52 Gen good               113 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G21                  S 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G25    S 11 G22     S 14 G24

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-290245-
Nantahala National Forest-
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   80-85 (+12)  58-63        80-85
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  40-45 (-25)  95-100       44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G21                 S  9 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G21    S  8 G18     S 10 G23
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      2 PM
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      7500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      S 24
DISPERSION                         54 Gen good               108 Very good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G21                 S 11 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    S 10 G18     S 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s
to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290245-
East Tennessee District East-
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-4)   84-89 (+12)  59-64        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  30-35 (-30)  92-97        36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G20    S  8 G15     SW  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5100                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      SW 18
Dispersion                         40 Fair                   81 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    S  9         SW 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290245-
East Tennessee District West-
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (-7)   81-86 (+9)   62-67        84-89
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+16) 36-41 (-18)  90-95        39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5 G20                 S  9 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G26    S  9 G21     S 10 G25
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4700                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      S 25
Dispersion                         56 Gen good               100 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  7 G20                 S 11 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 15 G26    S 11 G21     S 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Not as warm. Highs in
the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-290245-
Cumberland District South-
937 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017 /837 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (-7)   82-87 (+11)  62-67        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+11)  44-49 (-9)   92-97        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G25                  S 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G26     S  8 G20     S 11 G26
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       2 PM
Precip end                         8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            2            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      S 28
Dispersion                         67 Good                   128 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G25                  S 13 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G26     S 11 G20     S 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Lows in
the 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Not
as warm. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to upper 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.

$$



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