Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 210212 AAA
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...UPDATED
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather with warmer temperatures can be expected this
weekend as high pressure shifts east and southerly flow develops
across the area. Rain chances increase early next week as low
pressure moves into the region and a cold front bring much colder
temperatures.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220315-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (+2)   73-78 (+1)   46-51        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  30-35 (-1)   90-95        37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    S  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3000                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      S 10
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor               25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  7 G15    S  8

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220315-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (+3)   69-74 (0)    45-50        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 33-38 (+2)   85-90        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  9 G24    SE  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5300                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2600                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  8                     SE 13
Dispersion                         17 Gen poor               23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5                     SE 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE 11 G24    SE 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-220315-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (+3)   69-74 (0)    47-52        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+10) 33-38 (+6)   80-85        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  8 G24    SE  5 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2200                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      S 10
Dispersion                         8 Poor                    13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5                     SE  9 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE 11 G24    SE  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows around 40. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-220315-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (+2)   73-78 (0)    48-53        70-75
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  32-37 (+3)   90-95        50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  8 G23    SE  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  9                     SE 14
Dispersion                         19 Gen poor               33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5                     SE 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE 11 G23    SE 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-220315-
Nantahala National Forest-
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   73-78 (-1)   46-51        69-74
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  31-36 (+4)   92-97        53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  8 G21    SE  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                2500                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     SE 13
DISPERSION                         21 Fair                   32 Fair
MAX LVORI                          5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE 11 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE 10 G21    SE 10 G17

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220315-
East Tennessee District East-
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (+3)   74-79 (0)    46-51        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  32-37 (+2)   88-93        39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    SE  6 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2600                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     SE  9
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  7 G15    SE  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s to lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220315-
East Tennessee District West-
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (+3)   74-79 (0)    48-53        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  32-37 (-1)   87-92        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3600                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)                S  6                      S  9
Dispersion                         12 Poor                   24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  6

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the
50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-220315-
Cumberland District South-
1012 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017 /912 PM CDT Fri Oct 20 2017/

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (+3)   74-79 (0)    51-56        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  32-37 (+1)   89-94        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5 G17    SE  8 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2800                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      S 14
Dispersion                         28 Fair                   47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SE  6 G17    SE 10 G21

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and isolated thunderstorms.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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