Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 201846
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
With high pressure to our west over the Mississippi
Valley, and Hurricanes Jose and Maria to our east, our area will
find itself in a fairly benign weather regime with only isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms expected for the next few days.
Temperatures will be above normal this week.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (0)    79-84 (0)    57-62        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   48-53 (-1)   95-100       46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            30           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       2 PM
Precip end                         8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      7600
Transport wnd (mph)                N  6                      N  2
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the 50s to mid
60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Light winds becoming north less than 10 mph early in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (-1)   75-80 (-1)   55-60        76-81
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  51-56 (0)    92-97        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           0            30
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       2 PM                      8 AM
Precip end                         8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      7800
Transport wnd (mph)                N  6                      NE  2
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds
becoming north less than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-212000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+2)   75-80 (-1)   56-61        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-3)   48-53 (+1)   89-94        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            40
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       2 PM                      8 AM
Precip end                         8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.14
LAL                   1            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                N  7                      NW  5
Dispersion                         19 Gen poor               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s
to lower 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-212000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+2)   81-86 (0)    58-63        79-84
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  47-52 (-1)   95-100       52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            40
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       2 PM                      8 AM
Precip end                         8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.00         0.13
LAL                   1            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)                N  8                      SW  3
Dispersion                         24 Fair                   14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds
becoming north less than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-212000-
Nantahala National Forest-
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    81-86 (-1)   56-61        78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  44-49 (-1)   95-100       53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           10           40
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.02         0.13
LAL                   1            3            1            3
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      S  2
DISPERSION                         19 Gen poor               8 Poor
MAX LVORI                          5                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
70s to lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212000-
East Tennessee District East-
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-1)   81-86 (-1)   58-63        83-88
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   48-53 (+1)   95-100       45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       2 PM
Precip end                         8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5700                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)                N  5                      NE  2
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 50s
to mid 60s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Light winds becoming north less than 10 mph early in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212000-
East Tennessee District West-
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+2)   82-87 (0)    60-65        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-1)   95-100       48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            0
Precip duration                    1
Precip begin                       2 PM
Precip end                         8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            2            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     NE  3
Dispersion                         22 Fair                   13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Light winds becoming northeast less than 10 mph early in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-212000-
Cumberland District South-
246 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017 /146 PM CDT Wed Sep 20 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+3)   83-88 (+1)   60-65        82-87
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  46-51 (-3)   95-100       51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           0            10
Precip duration                    1                         1
Precip begin                       2 PM                      8 AM
Precip end                         8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            2            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     S  2
Dispersion                         27 Fair                   8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower to
mid 60s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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