Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 200841
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures will continue to warm this weekend.  Clouds will cover
most of the area Saturday, but the sun will start to break through
by Sunday afternoon for most locations.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (+5)   33-38 (+7)   52-57
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (+10)  95-100 (+21) 64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G21                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G21    SW  5 G15    LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3000                      2100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1000                      100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     S  9
Dispersion            12 Poor                   1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  9 G21                 SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G21    SW  7 G15    SW  6

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder. Highs
in the 30s to mid 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s
to mid 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+5)   34-39 (+7)   53-58
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (+11)  95-100 (+18) 59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G29                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G29     W  7 G22     LGT/VAR
Precip type           drizzle      drizzle      drizzle
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3600                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   900                       100
Transport wnd (mph)   W 18                      SW  7
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G29                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G29     W  8 G22     SW  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s to upper
40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-210945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (+4)   33-38 (+6)   53-58
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+23)  95-100 (+14) 56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G25                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G25     SW  5 G16    LGT/VAR
Precip type           drizzle      drizzle      drizzle
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   700                       100
Transport wnd (mph)   W 16                      S  8
Dispersion            9 Poor                    1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G25                  SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G25     SW  7 G16    SW  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers, colder. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-210945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (+5)   33-38 (+4)   57-62
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (+20)  95-100 (+14) 50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         drizzle      NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2800                      2100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   800                       100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  7                     SE  9
Dispersion            4 Very poor               1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers, colder. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s to upper
40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-210945-
Nantahala National Forest-
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   31-36 (+6)   56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+22)  95-100 (+8)  52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5 G18                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   1000                      100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SE  6
DISPERSION            7 Poor                    1 Very poor
MAX LVORI             5                         10
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows near 40. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers, colder. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210945-
East Tennessee District East-
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+7)   34-39 (+9)   55-60
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (+12)  95-100 (+20) 62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2200                      1600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   700                       100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SE  5
Dispersion            7 Poor                    0 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G16    SW  5        LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210945-
East Tennessee District West-
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+7)   34-39 (+4)   55-60
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (+14)  95-100 (+24) 59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2000                      1500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   700                       200
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     S  8
Dispersion            7 Poor                    1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G15    S  5         SW  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210945-
Cumberland District South-
341 AM EST Sat Jan 20 2018 /241 AM CST Sat Jan 20 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (+5)   34-39 (+1)   56-61
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (+16)  93-98 (+18)  52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2000                      1500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   900                       300
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     S 10
Dispersion            7 Poor                    3 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         S  5         S  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
to upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the 40s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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