Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 200030
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
With high pressure to our west over the Mississippi
Valley, and Hurricanes Jose and Maria to our east, our area will
find itself in a fairly benign weather regime with only isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms expected for the next few days.
Temperatures will be above normal this week.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210130-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+3)   78-83 (0)    58-63        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  52-57 (+5)   95-100       54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           0            40
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.05         0.00         0.02
LAL                   2            3            1            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7100                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)                W  7                      N  6
Dispersion                         30 Fair                   24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower
60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210130-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+3)   74-79 (-1)   56-61        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (0)    53-58 (+7)   92-97        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           0            30
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.07         0.00         0.06
LAL                   2            3            1            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7200                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      N  7
Dispersion                         36 Fair                   23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-210130-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+2)   74-79 (-3)   57-62        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (0)    54-59 (+8)   88-93        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           0            20
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.07         0.00         0.07
LAL                   3            2            1            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6900                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     N  8
Dispersion                         24 Fair                   25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s to mid
60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Light winds becoming northeast less
than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-210130-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+5)   79-84 (-2)   59-64        79-84
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-2)   54-59 (+9)   92-97        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           0            20
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.06         0.00         0.05
LAL                   3            2            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  6                     N  7
Dispersion                         22 Fair                   24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      N  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower
60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Light winds becoming northeast
less than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.

$$

NCZ060-061-210130-
Nantahala National Forest-
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   79-84 (0)    57-62        79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  53-58 (+5)   91-96        51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM                      8 AM
PRECIP END            11 PM        8 PM                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.00         0.08
LAL                   3            2            1            3
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      6800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     N  5
DISPERSION                         32 Fair                   15 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Light winds
becoming east less than 10 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to lower 80s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210130-
East Tennessee District East-
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+4)   80-85 (-1)   59-64        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   50-55 (+7)   95-100       51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           0            30
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.06         0.00         0.03
LAL                   2            3            1            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                W  7                      N  6
Dispersion                         28 Fair                   21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid
60s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the 70s to mid
80s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210130-
East Tennessee District West-
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+2)   81-86 (0)    61-66        81-86
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   52-57 (+4)   93-98        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           0            20
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.05         0.00         0.02
LAL                   3            3            1            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  5                     NE  6
Dispersion                         17 Gen poor               21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s to
mid 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s to
mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s
to mid 80s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210130-
Cumberland District South-
830 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017 /730 PM CDT Tue Sep 19 2017/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+2)   82-87 (0)    62-67        81-86
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  52-57 (+4)   93-98        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           0            20
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         8 AM                      8 AM
Precip end            11 PM        8 PM                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.05         0.00         0.02
LAL                   3            2            1            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  3                     NE  7
Dispersion                         14 Gen poor               21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s
to upper 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower to mid
80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.

$$



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