Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 210757
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid springlike weather will continue. A cold
front will approach the Plateau late today, thus we will see an
increase in shower coverage this afternoon and tonight. Isolated
thunderstorms are also possible. This spring showers kind of weather
will continue the rest of the week.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (-4)   53-58 (0)    68-73
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+12)  95-100 (+7)  60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G23                  SW  6 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G24    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G20
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          10 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.09         0.09
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4200                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 25                     SW 23
Dispersion            91 Good                   57 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G23                  SW  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G24    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G20

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-2)   53-58 (+1)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+9)   93-98 (+2)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G17                  SW  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G16    LGT/VAR      W  6 G17
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.08         0.03
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3900                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     SW 18
Dispersion            65 Good                   46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G17                  SW  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G16    S  5         W  7 G17

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-220900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (-2)   54-59 (0)    67-72
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+6)   92-97 (+5)   55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G26                 SW  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G21    S  6 G19     SW  7 G17
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.15         0.02
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3600                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 23                     SW 21
Dispersion            71 Good                   43 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 10 G26                 SW 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G21    S  8 G19     SW  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to mid 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-220900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (+1)   56-61 (-1)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (-1)   95-100 (+5)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G18                  S  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G19     S  5 G15     SW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           40           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.13         0.02
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4000                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 24                     SW 21
Dispersion            82 Good                   57 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G18                  S  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G19     S  7 G15     SW  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s
to 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 40s
to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-220900-
Nantahala National Forest-
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+2)   55-60 (-1)   69-74
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   95-100 (+4)  58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.14         0.02
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   3900                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 17
DISPERSION            68 Good                   50 Gen good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220900-
East Tennessee District East-
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (-4)   54-59 (0)    71-76
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+11)  95-100 (+5)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           30           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          10 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.09         0.06
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4600                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     SW 20
Dispersion            79 Good                   57 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220900-
East Tennessee District West-
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-2)   56-61 (-1)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+7)   94-99 (+5)   58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G18                 SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  6 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.11         0.15         0.13
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4100                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 26                     SW 24
Dispersion            96 Good                   68 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  7 G18                 SW  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 50s
to mid 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-220900-
Cumberland District South-
257 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018 /157 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+2)   58-63 (-1)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      56-61 (+1)   92-97 (+2)   57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G20                  S  7 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G20     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.13         0.15         0.04
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5200                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4000                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 28                     SW 24
Dispersion            96 Good                   74 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G20                  S  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G20     S  5         SW  9 G16

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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