Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 221847
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will be moving into the area, bringing
showers and storms with it, for late tonight and into Wednesday.
Drier weather will follow for Thursday and Friday.  Chances of
showers and storms return for the weekend. Temperatures will
generally turn about 10 degrees cooler than the hot readings from
early this week.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+1)   78-83 (-5)   53-58        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  49-54 (0)    90-95        40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G18    NW  6        N  5         NW  5
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           30           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.24         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            3            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5700                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     N  8
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  6                     N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G18    NW  7        N  6         NW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to upper
70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+3)   76-81 (-5)   53-58        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (-1)   50-55 (+2)   90-95        39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G18    NW  8 G17    N  6 G16     NW  7
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           40           20           0
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM
Precip amount         0.12         0.09         0.01         0.00
LAL                   4            3            2            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 10                     N  9
Dispersion                         23 Fair                   24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  9 G16                  N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G18    NW  9 G17    N  8 G16     NW  8

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Light winds becoming southeast less
than 10 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-232000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+3)   76-81 (-7)   56-61        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-1)   53-58 (+8)   90-95        41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5 G15                  NE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G23    NW  7 G15    N  6 G16     N  7
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           30           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.13         0.20         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            3            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5300                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  9                     N  9
Dispersion                         17 Gen poor               18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6 G15                  NE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G23    NW  8 G15    N  8 G16     N  8

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s to lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-232000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+2)   80-85 (-6)   57-62        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (-1)   53-58 (+8)   95-100       40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  6 G15     N  8 G16
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           30           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.21         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            3            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  9                     N 10
Dispersion                         22 Fair                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        NW  8        N  8 G15     N 10

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-232000-
Nantahala National Forest-
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   80-85 (-5)   58-63        79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  56-61 (+7)   93-98        40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        N  5         N  5
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   11 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.22         0.01         0.00
LAL                   3            3            2            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     N  7
DISPERSION                         25 Fair                   21 Fair
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        N  7         N  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232000-
East Tennessee District East-
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+3)   81-86 (-6)   56-61        77-82
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (-2)   48-53 (+4)   90-95        39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        N  5         LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           30           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.17         0.05         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            3            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5100                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     N  7
Dispersion                         24 Fair                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  7                      NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        N  6         N  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232000-
East Tennessee District West-
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+1)   81-86 (-6)   58-63        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+1)   49-54 (+5)   89-94        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G16    NW  6        N  5         N  5
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           20           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.19         0.07         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            3            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     N  8
Dispersion                         24 Fair                   32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5                     NE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G16    NW  8        N  6         N  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-232000-
Cumberland District South-
247 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017 /147 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+1)   82-87 (-5)   58-63        81-86
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+2)   48-53 (+2)   91-96        36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  5 G15                 NE  6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G15    NW  7 G17    N  6 G15     N  6 G15
Precip type           tstms        tstms        NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           30           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.07         0.10         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            3            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     N 10
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G15                 NE  8
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G15    NW  9 G17    N  8 G15     N  8 G15

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s.
Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds
up to 10 mph.

$$



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