Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 171946
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will increase on Saturday ahead of a cold front
with breezy conditions at times. Rain will be likely along the cold
front late Saturday and Saturday night. Colder and drier air filters
in behind the front Sunday through early next week.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182100-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (+11)  59-64 (+3)   34-39        38-43
RH % (24h trend)      82-87 (+5)   53-58 (+22)  95-100       49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G39                  NW 11 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G21     S 17 G45     SW 18 G46    W 12 G25
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms        rain
Chance precip (%)     0            40           90           20
Precip duration                    1            5            1
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.54         0.01
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4700                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2700                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 32                     NW 20
Dispersion                         73 Good                   37 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 15 G39                  NW 14 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G21     S 21 G45     SW 23 G46    W 15 G25

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182100-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (+10)  57-62 (+2)   32-37        36-41
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (+12)  54-59 (+26)  95-100       51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 13 G41                  NW 14 G35
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G27     S 16 G43     SW 19 G46    NW 15 G32
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms        snow/rain
Chance precip (%)     0            20           90           30
Precip duration                    1            5            1
Precip begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.54         0.01
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4700                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 26                      NW 24
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 16 G41                  NW 18 G35
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G27     S 19 G43     SW 23 G46    NW 18 G32

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph in the morning becoming light.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-182100-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (+9)   58-63 (+1)   31-36        38-43
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+13)  53-58 (+27)  95-100       49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 19 G55                  NW 10 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G37     SW 22 G59    SW 20 G59    NW 10 G27
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            30           90           0
Precip duration                    1            6
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.59         0.00
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4900                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 40                     NW 18
Dispersion                         60 Gen good               20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 25 G55                  NW 13 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G37     SW 28 G59    SW 26 G59    NW 13 G27

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. North winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-182100-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (+13)  60-65 (-1)   33-38        41-46
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+5)   60-65 (+30)  90-95        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 16 G45                  NW 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G31     S 17 G46     W 18 G46     NW 10 G23
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            40           90           0
Precip duration                    1            5
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.55         0.00
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)                S 37                      NW 17
Dispersion                         72 Good                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 19 G45                  NW 13 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G31     S 21 G46     W 23 G46     NW 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the
afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-182100-
Nantahala National Forest-
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  59-64 (-2)   33-38        43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  62-67 (+35)  95-100       42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G39                  NW 12 G28
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G24    S 15 G41     SW 16 G42    NW 11 G27
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         showers      tstms        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           90           0
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.49         0.00
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                2400                      1600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      NW 20
DISPERSION                         63 Good                   25 Fair
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G39                  NW 15 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G24    S 18 G41     SW 21 G42    NW 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182100-
East Tennessee District East-
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (+11)  63-68 (+6)   36-41        41-46
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+3)   53-58 (+21)  92-97        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G37                  W 11 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6 G16    SW 16 G43    SW 19 G46    W 12 G26
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms        rain
Chance precip (%)     0            30           90           20
Precip duration                    1            5            1
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   10 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.55         0.01
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3000                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 28                     W 17
Dispersion                         73 Good                   41 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G37                  W 14 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G16    SW 20 G43    SW 24 G46    W 15 G26

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph in the morning becoming light.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182100-
East Tennessee District West-
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+12)  60-65 (+3)   35-40        42-47
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (+1)   59-64 (+24)  90-95        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 14 G43                  NW  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G27     S 18 G46     W 20 G49     NW  9 G22
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            50           90           0
Precip duration                    1            5
Precip begin                       10 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.14         0.45         0.00
LAL                   1            2            2            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2500                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 35                     NW 14
Dispersion                         76 Good                   30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 18 G43                  NW 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G27     S 23 G46     W 24 G49     NW 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Light winds
becoming east less than 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-182100-
Cumberland District South-
246 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017 /146 PM CST Fri Nov 17 2017/

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+15)  61-66 (+1)   34-39        44-49
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (+3)   59-64 (+26)  88-93        41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 14 G43                  NW 10 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G26     S 17 G43     W 19 G49     NW 10 G23
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            60           90           0
Precip duration                    1            4
Precip begin                       10 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   4 AM
Precip amount         0.00         0.16         0.40         0.00
LAL                   1            2            2            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3300                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2100                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                S 33                      NW 16
Dispersion                         62 Good                   32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 18 G43                  NW 12 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G26     S 22 G43     W 24 G49     NW 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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