Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 161554
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will swing across the region today, bringing some snow
to the area. Much colder air will push in behind the front tonight
into Wednesday. A gradual warming trend will start on Thursday and
continue into the weekend.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171700-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (-4)   5-10 (-20)   16-21
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (+12)  95-100 (+10) 58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        NW  7 G15    NW  9 G22
Precip type           snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           70           0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM
Precip amount         0.14         0.05         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2900                      5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   900                       3200
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      NW 16
Dispersion            5 Very poor               45 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7        NW  8        NW 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 6 to 12. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 17. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of snow showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171700-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (+5)   8-13 (-14)   13-18
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (+1)   85-90 (0)    54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         NW  8 G18    NW 12 G29
Precip type           snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           70           0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          10 AM        Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM
Precip amount         0.10         0.06         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   700                       2900
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      NW 21
Dispersion            4 Very poor               51 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      NW 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         NW  9 G18    NW 15 G29

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 5 to 12. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Not as cold. Lows around 19. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of snow showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-171700-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (+1)   4-9 (-18)    13-18
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+3)   86-91 (-1)   55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  6 G21                  N  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  6 G16     NW  6 G15    N 10 G25
Precip type           snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           70           0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          10 AM        Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM
Precip amount         0.12         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3900                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   900                       2200
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      N 18
Dispersion            5 Very poor               31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G21                  N 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G16     NW  8 G15    N 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 3 to 12. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Not as cold. Lows around 20. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of snow showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-171700-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-1)   5-10 (-18)   18-23
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (+2)   94-99 (+3)   46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   N 11 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        N  8 G20     N 12 G26
Precip type           snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           60           0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM
Precip amount         0.10         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1300                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     N 22
Dispersion            7 Poor                    48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      N 14 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7        N 10 G20     N 15 G26

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 7 to 13. North winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 20. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-171700-
Nantahala National Forest-
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   7-12 (-16)   19-24
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    95-100 (-1)  43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 10 G25
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     NW  7 G18    N 12 G27
PRECIP TYPE           snow/rain    snow         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   4 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   1300                      2200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N 22
DISPERSION            10 Poor                   40 Fair
MAX LVORI             4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 13 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW  9 G18    N 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 11. North winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 17 to 23. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171700-
East Tennessee District East-
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-3)   8-13 (-14)   18-23
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+5)   88-93 (-3)   52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G19    NW  7 G15    NW  8 G19
Precip type           snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           60           0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   4 AM
Precip amount         0.13         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2800                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1300                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      NW 15
Dispersion            9 Poor                    46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      NW  8
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G19    NW  8        NW 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 8 to 14. West winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 15 to 20. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171700-
East Tennessee District West-
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (-12)  5-10 (-18)   19-24
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+9)   87-92 (-1)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   N  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G16    NW  8 G18    N  8 G20
Precip type           snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           40           0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.16         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3100                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1900                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     N 15
Dispersion            14 Gen poor               47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  5                     N 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G16    NW  9 G18    N 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 8 to 13. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 16 to 21. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-171700-
Cumberland District South-
1054 AM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 /954 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (-12)  5-10 (-19)   21-26
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (+6)   82-87 (-4)   46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  6 G16                  N 11 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G17    N  9 G20     N 10 G24
Precip type           snow         snow         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           30           0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.11         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2900                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     N 20
Dispersion            15 Gen poor               57 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  7 G16                  N 13 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G17    N 11 G20     N 13 G24

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 9 to 16. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 20. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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