Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 180825
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure and a dry westerly flow will lead to improving weather
right through the weekend. A most pleasant warming trend along with
lots of sunshine gets underway today and continues right through the
weekend.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190930-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (+12)  11-16 (+8)   43-48
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-11)  75-80 (-6)   21-26
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2100                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   100                       1600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW 12
Dispersion            1 Very poor               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7        SW  5        SW  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper teens to lower 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in
the mid 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190930-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (+16)  14-19 (+12)  42-47
RH % (24h trend)      34-39 (-21)  60-65 (-23)  17-22
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  6 G15     W  5         W  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2900                      3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   100                       1200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 14                     W 12
Dispersion            1 Very poor               10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G17                 NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G15     W  6         W  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 18 to 26. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the mid
30s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to 50s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-190930-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (+18)  16-21 (+15)  42-47
RH % (24h trend)      30-35 (-20)  63-68 (-17)  20-25
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5 G15                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3100                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   100                       1100
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     SW 12
Dispersion            1 Very poor               8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        W  5         W  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Highs in the upper 40s to lower
60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-190930-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (+19)  15-20 (+12)  47-52
RH % (24h trend)      26-31 (-22)  73-78 (-11)  20-25
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2200                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   100                       1600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     SW  6
Dispersion            1 Very poor               8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  7                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Light winds becoming
southeast less than 10 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-190930-
Nantahala National Forest-
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+19)  15-20 (+11)  48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-18)  75-80 (+1)   19-24
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   100                       1700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W  7
DISPERSION            1 Very poor               9 Poor
MAX LVORI             5                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 19 to 26. Light winds becoming north
less than 10 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the mid
30s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely or chance of snow showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190930-
East Tennessee District East-
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      30-35 (+12)  11-16 (+8)   46-51
RH % (24h trend)      35-40 (-13)  79-84 (-4)   20-25
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    1600                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   100                       1700
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      SW  8
Dispersion            1 Very poor               12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 16 to 26. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Not as cold. Lows in the 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190930-
East Tennessee District West-
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (+15)  12-17 (+10)  45-50
RH % (24h trend)      33-38 (-14)  77-82 (-10)  19-24
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    1500                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   200                       1700
Transport wnd (mph)   W  5                      SW  9
Dispersion            1 Very poor               13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Light winds becoming
south less than 10 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-190930-
Cumberland District South-
325 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018 /225 AM CST Thu Jan 18 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      33-38 (+16)  14-19 (+9)   45-50
RH % (24h trend)      30-35 (-17)  74-79 (-9)   19-24
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    1500                      2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   400                       1600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  6                     SW  7
Dispersion            2 Very poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s. Light winds
becoming south less than 10 mph after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to mid
50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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