Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 200753
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
With high pressure to our west over the Mississippi
Valley, and Hurricanes Jose and Maria to our east, our area will
find itself in a fairly benign weather regime with only isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms expected for the next few days.
Temperatures will be above normal this week.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      77-82 (-2)   58-63 (0)    78-83
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+3)   95-100 (+2)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.01
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7500                      7800
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      NE  8
Dispersion            51 Gen good               42 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NE  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s to mid 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Light winds becoming
north less than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s to upper 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (-3)   57-62 (0)    74-79
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+5)   95-100 (+7)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.01         0.05
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    8000                      8000
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13                      N  9
Dispersion            60 Gen good               39 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9        LGT/VAR      NE  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
near 60. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph
shifting to the north early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast after
midnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-210900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (-5)   59-64 (+2)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+6)   90-95 (-1)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      N  5
Precip type           tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           10           20
Precip duration       1                         1
Precip begin          2 PM                      2 PM
Precip end            8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.06
LAL                   3            1            3
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7400                      7700
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     N 10
Dispersion            37 Fair                   42 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      N  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph shifting
to the north early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-210900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (-3)   60-65 (+3)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+6)   92-97 (+2)   50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     10           10           10
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6900                      7400
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     N 12
Dispersion            41 Gen good               54 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph
shifting to the north early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 60. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-210900-
Nantahala National Forest-
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   57-62 (+1)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   92-97 (-1)   50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           10           10
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM
PRECIP END                                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      9000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N  9
DISPERSION            51 Gen good               56 Gen good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s to lower 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph
shifting to the north early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210900-
East Tennessee District East-
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      80-85 (-1)   59-64 (0)    80-85
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+6)   95-100 (+3)  52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           30
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   2 PM
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM         8 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.02
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7100                      7300
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     N  8
Dispersion            52 Gen good               42 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      N  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid
60s. Light winds becoming east less than 10 mph after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to upper 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210900-
East Tennessee District West-
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (0)    62-67 (+2)   81-86
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (+1)   94-99 (+2)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           10           20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    2 PM
Precip end                                      8 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      7100
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     N 10
Dispersion            37 Fair                   52 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      N  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light winds becoming northeast
less than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s
to upper 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the 70s to mid
80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210900-
Cumberland District South-
353 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017 /253 AM CDT Wed Sep 20 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (0)    63-68 (+3)   82-87
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (+1)   92-97 (0)    50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5
Precip type           tstms        NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           10           10
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      7000
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     N 13
Dispersion            38 Fair                   63 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light winds
becoming east less than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s
to upper 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s to mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$


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