Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 140926
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build into the Southern Appalachian
Region by end of the week...allowing for a gradual warming trend
through Saturday. The next chance for rain will be Sunday morning.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-2)   20-25 (-6)   36-41
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (+17)  92-97 (+16)  40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G26                 W  5 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4200                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2100                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      W 16
Dispersion            14 Gen poor               35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 10 G26                 W  7 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 30s
to upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-1)   20-25 (-5)   34-39
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (+16)  85-90 (+12)  40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 14 G48                 NW  6 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G23    NW  5 G16    W 11 G26
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1300                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     W 18
Dispersion            11 Poor                   24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 18 G48                 NW  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G23    NW  6 G16    W 13 G26

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 20s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-151030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-1)   20-25 (-5)   35-40
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (+16)  84-89 (+7)   41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G40                  W  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G26    NW  6 G19    W  8 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4200                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1100                      1400
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     W 16
Dispersion            9 Poor                    16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G40                  W  7 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 11 G26    NW  7 G19    W 10 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-151030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (0)    22-27 (-5)   40-45
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (+24)  83-88 (+5)   39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  6 G17                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  6 G18    N  5 G15     W  7 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     W 12
Dispersion            14 Gen poor               19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G17                 NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G18    N  6 G15     W  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs near 50. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-151030-
Nantahala National Forest-
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           MClear       MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   22-27 (-4)   41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+19)  88-93 (+9)   41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G18     NW  5 G15    W  7 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   1600                      1900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 13
DISPERSION            14 Gen poor               21 Fair
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  7 G15    W  9 G16

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151030-
East Tennessee District East-
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-1)   21-26 (-7)   39-44
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (+19)  84-89 (+14)  39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  6 G18                  W  6 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4000                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2500                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)   W  8                      W 16
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               38 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  8 G18                  W  8 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151030-
East Tennessee District West-
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      40-45 (-2)   22-27 (-5)   40-45
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (+21)  84-89 (+8)   37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  5                     W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3900                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2700                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     W 14
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  6                     W  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        N  5         W  8 G15

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid
30s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-151030-
Cumberland District South-
426 AM EST Thu Dec 14 2017 /326 AM CST Thu Dec 14 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-1)   24-29 (-4)   42-47
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (+20)  82-87 (+4)   36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      N  5         NW  6 G17
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3700                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2500                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     W 12
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  5                     NW  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        N  6         NW  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs near 50. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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