Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 020824
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
THE AREA FRIDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...ALONG WITH MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   56-61 (+6)   70-75
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   93-98 (+4)   59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.45
LAL                   1            2            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8500                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 24
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               74 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   53-58 (+6)   68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-7)   95-100 (+7)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.52
LAL                   1            1            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW 17
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-030930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   54-59 (+7)   69-74
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   95-100 (+9)  64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  9 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.79
LAL                   1            1            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW 25
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     SW 12 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-030930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   58-63 (+10)  72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   95-100 (+7)  72-77
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100
PRECIP DURATION                    1            7
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.97
LAL                   1            2            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 25
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   75 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G17     SW 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-030930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   57-62 (+11)  73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-7)   93-98 (0)    67-72
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100
PRECIP DURATION                    1            7
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         1.13
LAL                   1            2            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 21
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        SW  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   56-61 (+6)   72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-7)   95-100 (+8)  56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.54
LAL                   1            1            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 23
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               85 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   59-64 (+7)   72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   94-99 (+2)   64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.58
LAL                   1            2            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 28
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   103 VERY GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
424 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   62-67 (+9)   72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-3)   93-98 (+1)   66-71
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         SW 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100
PRECIP DURATION                    2            7
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         0.74
LAL                   1            2            5
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW 25
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6 G17     SW 14 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TD/SON


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