Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 070828
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...
TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY...BEFORE A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION
LATER TONIGHT. A STRONG SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR RETURNS TO
THE AREA BY THE MONDAY...PROMOTING MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS AS WELL AS
A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW HEADING INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   27-32 (+3)   36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   94-99 (+19)  63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.21
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      SW 18
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   36 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 28. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
11 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 14 TO
27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 18.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   25-30 (+3)   34-39
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   89-94 (+15)  65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.26
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      W 16
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
10 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 13 TO
25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-080930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   25-30 (+3)   35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-1)   93-98 (+15)  63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.26
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      W 22
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   25 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 6 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS 14 TO 28. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 1 TO 19. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 11 TO
27. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-080930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   28-33 (+5)   38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (0)    91-96 (+17)  63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.20
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      W 21
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 13 TO 25. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS 19 TO 29. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 8 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-080930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   26-31 (+5)   38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   95-100 (+15) 62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.19
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      W 20
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W 12 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 14 TO 24. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 9 TO 17. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
17 TO 29. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   28-33 (+5)   38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   92-97 (+16)  64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.21
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      W 21
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 28. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
11 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 17 TO
28. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   30-35 (+4)   38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   88-93 (+15)  62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.16
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     W 22
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 17 TO 27. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 10 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
18 TO 29. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
328 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016 /228 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   31-36 (+4)   38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   90-95 (+21)  64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.11
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W 23
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   62 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 27.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 22. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$



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