Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 252014
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST NEAR THE EAST
COAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...SPREADING MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS AND SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING
MORE CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THANKSGIVING DAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   39-44 (-10)  28-33        37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   63-68 (+27)  95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           50
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.12         0.08         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 16
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               40 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
17 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-5)   37-42 (-11)  26-31        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+13)  63-68 (+29)  95-100       58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           60
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.14         0.08         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 21
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
18 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-262115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   39-44 (-10)  25-30        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+11)  54-59 (+24)  93-98        54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           40           40
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.06         0.10         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 15
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  6        W  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-262115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (0)    44-49 (-9)   28-33        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+10)  46-51 (+18)  89-94        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           20
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.02         0.07         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 13
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   28 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        NW  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-262115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+1)   44-49 (-10)  28-33        42-47
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 47-52 (+20)  89-94        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           30
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.03         0.07         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW 14
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   31 FAIR
MAX LVORI                          5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   43-48 (-7)   30-35        40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+10)  54-59 (+19)  93-98        51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.09         0.08         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 16
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   44-49 (-8)   30-35        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+6)   45-50 (+13)  86-91        48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           40           30
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.08         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 13
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               34 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
314 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-3)   45-50 (-7)   31-36        43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+7)   41-46 (+9)   81-86        43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         RAIN         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            20           0
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM
PRECIP END            7 AM                      7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     NW 13
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               35 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  6 G15    NW  8 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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