Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 220935
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE EARLY TODAY AND
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE AGAIN THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL FILTER
INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (-9)   46-51 (-1)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (+18)  95-100 (+10) 51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     90           20           20
Precip duration       5            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.19         0.01         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  6                     SW  9
Dispersion            10 Poor                   27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (-6)   44-49 (-3)   63-68
RH % (24h trend)      67-72 (+21)  95-100 (+11) 52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     70           20           20
Precip duration       2            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.02         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      SW  6
Dispersion            11 Poor                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Cooler. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-231030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-6)   45-50 (-4)   63-68
RH % (24h trend)      63-68 (+19)  95-100 (+9)  52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     60           0            20
Precip duration       2                         1
Precip begin          7 AM                      7 AM
Precip end            Continuing                7 PM
Precip amount         0.11         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5200                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  7                     SW  7
Dispersion            12 Poor                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in
the mid 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the 50s to 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-231030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-3)   48-53 (-4)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (+16)  95-100 (+8)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip type           showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     60           0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            7 PM
Precip amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     S 10
Dispersion            31 Fair                   29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-231030-
Nantahala National Forest-
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-3)   46-51 (-5)   65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+16)  95-100 (+2)  53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP TYPE           showers      NONE         showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM
PRECIP END            7 PM                      7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     S  9
DISPERSION            29 Fair                   29 Fair
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 50. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows near 50.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in
the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231030-
East Tennessee District East-
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-8)   46-51 (-4)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      66-71 (+25)  95-100 (+12) 51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     60           20           20
Precip duration       2            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   7 AM
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.01         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   E  7                      SW  7
Dispersion            9 Poor                    18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231030-
East Tennessee District West-
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (-4)   49-54 (-2)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      64-69 (+20)  93-98 (+7)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     60           0            10
Precip duration       2                         1
Precip begin          7 AM                      7 AM
Precip end            7 PM                      7 PM
Precip amount         0.13         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)   E  7                      SW 10
Dispersion            12 Poor                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-231030-
Cumberland District South-
435 AM EST Wed Feb 22 2017 /335 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (-2)   50-55 (-3)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      62-67 (+14)  95-100 (+6)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            7 PM
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     S 12
Dispersion            26 Fair                   30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E  5                      S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  8

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cooler. Lows in
the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TD/MA


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