Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 170812
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A frontal system will bring yet another round of
rain to the area today. Sunday will be mostly dry, but the rest of
next week will continue to be unsettled. Temperatures will remain
above normal.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180915-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-16)  31-36 (-3)   54-59
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+1)   95-100 (+9)  34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  5 G17                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5 G15     W  6 G19     SE  5
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     100          50           0
Precip duration       6            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.87         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1300                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)   E  6                      SE  8
Dispersion            7 Poor                    13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G17                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6 G15     W  8 G19     SE  7

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180915-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-17)  31-36 (-3)   53-58
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+3)   95-100 (+15) 37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 11 G38                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G38     W 10 G29     SE  7 G17
Precip type           rain         showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     100          60           0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.34         0.08         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   500                       1500
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 15                     S 12
Dispersion            6 Very poor               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 14 G38                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G38     W 12 G29     SE  8 G17

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-180915-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-12)  32-37 (-5)   56-61
RH % (24h trend)      76-81 (+3)   95-100 (+11) 32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G42                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G44    W  9 G25     SW  5 G16
Precip type           rain         showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     100          60           0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.51         0.12         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   500                       1400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      S  9
Dispersion            5 Very poor               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G42                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 16 G44    W 12 G25     SW  7 G16

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-180915-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-12)  35-40 (-4)   60-65
RH % (24h trend)      77-82 (+4)   95-100 (+13) 40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G34                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G35     NW  5        S  6 G16
Precip type           rain         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          60           20
Precip duration       5            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   1 PM
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.47         0.12         0.01
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2300                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   300                       1900
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      S 14
Dispersion            3 Very poor               22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G34                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G35     NW  6        S  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 50. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. East winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-180915-
Nantahala National Forest-
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-13)  35-40 (-5)   59-64
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+7)   95-100 (+11) 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G25                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G27     N  5         S  5
PRECIP TYPE           rain         showers      tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         Continuing   1 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   1 AM         Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.12         0.01
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   400                       2100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SE 13
DISPERSION            4 Very poor               23 Fair
MAX LVORI             9                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G25                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G27     N  6         S  6

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180915-
East Tennessee District East-
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-17)  32-37 (-4)   57-62
RH % (24h trend)      73-78 (+3)   95-100 (+10) 34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E  5 G22                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  6 G23    W  6 G18     E  5
Precip type           rain         showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     100          50           0
Precip duration       6            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.60         0.06         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2200                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   700                       2000
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     SE  8
Dispersion            5 Very poor               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E  7 G22                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G23    W  8 G18     E  6

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180915-
East Tennessee District West-
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-16)  33-38 (-4)   56-61
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+4)   95-100 (+13) 43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5 G16     W  5 G16     SE  5
Precip type           rain         showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     100          30           0
Precip duration       7            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.91         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2300                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1000                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)   N  7                      SE  7
Dispersion            7 Poor                    11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E  5 G15                  NE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6 G16     W  7 G16     SE  6

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 50. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-180915-
Cumberland District South-
312 AM EST Sat Feb 17 2018 /212 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-14)  34-39 (-4)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      69-74 (+1)   95-100 (+13) 43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  6 G19     N  6 G18     SE  6 G15
Precip type           rain         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          40           20
Precip duration       7            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   1 PM
Precip end            Continuing   1 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.57         0.05         0.03
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    1900                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   700                       1800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  5                     SE 12
Dispersion            3 Very poor               17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  5 G18                 NE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G19     N  8 G18     SE  8 G15

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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