Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 281838
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PRODUCING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS.
PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON THURSDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-5)   66-71 (+3)   47-52        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  39-44 (-17)  87-92        39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G24
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 4 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6100
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     N/A
Dispersion                         28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        N  5         NE  5        S 13 G24

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-5)   66-71 (+6)   47-52        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (+2)   38-43 (-21)  85-90        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 11 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 4 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400
Transport wnd (mph)                N  7                      N/A
Dispersion                         22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G15    N  5         LGT/VAR      SE 13 G22

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...

$$

TNZ072-074-291945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-5)   66-71 (+6)   49-54        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (0)    40-45 (-20)  85-90        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         NW  5        LGT/VAR      S 12 G32
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 12 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     N/A
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6         NW  6        E  5         S 14 G32

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...

$$

TNZ087-102-291945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-8)   72-77 (+7)   52-57        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   35-40 (-22)  86-91        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G35
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 12 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900
Transport wnd (mph)                N  5                      N/A
Dispersion                         14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         NW  5        LGT/VAR      S 18 G35

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s
to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...

$$

NCZ060-061-291945-
Nantahala National Forest-
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MClear       PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   73-78 (+10)  49-54        68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   35-40 (-25)  93-98        48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      S  7 G27
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  2                      N/A
DISPERSION                         9 Poor
MAX LVORI                          5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W  6         LGT/VAR      S 13 G27

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291945-
East Tennessee District East-
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-5)   70-75 (+4)   49-54        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (0)    38-43 (-17)  85-90        40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 4 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     N/A
Dispersion                         29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     SE  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      S 12 G21

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291945-
East Tennessee District West-
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-7)   71-76 (+5)   51-56        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+1)   38-43 (-16)  84-89        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G25
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 12 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  7                     N/A
Dispersion                         28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     S  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         NE  5        LGT/VAR      S 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s
to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-291945-
Cumberland District South-
238 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017 /138 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-7)   73-78 (+5)   53-58        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   38-43 (-16)  88-93        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G30
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 12 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     N/A
Dispersion                         20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     S  9 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 17 G30

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...

$$



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