Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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631
FNUS54 KMRX 230750
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (-10)  45-50 (0)    62-67
RH % (24h trend)      69-74 (0)    95-100 (-2)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E 10 G22                  E  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E 10 G25     E 10 G26     E  7 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     90           90           50
Precip duration       8            5            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.10         0.43         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3000                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   E 17                      E 15
Dispersion            13 Gen poor               37 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E 12 G22                  E 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 13 G25     E 12 G26     E  9 G20

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to mid 50s. East winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
East winds less than 10 mph shifting to the south after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (-15)  44-49 (-3)   57-62
RH % (24h trend)      65-70 (+6)   95-100 (+1)  61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 12 G29                 SE  9 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E 12 G31     E 10 G30     E  6 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     100          90           70
Precip duration       8            7            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.24         0.71         0.10
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   E 24                      SE 17
Dispersion            29 Fair                   31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 15 G29                 SE 11 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 16 G31     E 13 G30     E  8 G20

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. East winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph shifting to the south after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-240900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-12)  46-51 (-4)   60-65
RH % (24h trend)      62-67 (+9)   91-96 (-2)   59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  9 G27                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G27    E  8 G25     NE  5
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     100          90           60
Precip duration       8            4            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.48         0.33         0.06
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 16                     E  8
Dispersion            14 Gen poor               15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 11 G27                 E  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G27    E 10 G25     NE  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s
to mid 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-240900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-14)  49-54 (-2)   63-68
RH % (24h trend)      70-75 (+18)  92-97 (-4)   63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G18                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     100          60           50
Precip duration       8            2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.37         0.11         0.03
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  9                     NE  6
Dispersion            9 Poor                    14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G18                 N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         N  8

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph early
in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-240900-
Nantahala National Forest-
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-14)  48-53 (0)    62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+19)  95-100 (+1)  65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G21                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5 G16     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.37         0.16         0.03
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     E  7
DISPERSION            10 Poor                   22 Fair
MAX LVORI             7                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G21                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5 G18     E  6 G16     N  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240900-
East Tennessee District East-
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (-13)  47-52 (-3)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      67-72 (+4)   93-98 (-1)   56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E  9 G23                  NE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E 10 G25     NE  8 G22    E  6
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     100          90           50
Precip duration       8            5            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.15         0.41         0.04
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)   E 20                      E 10
Dispersion            30 Fair                   30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E 12 G23                  NE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 13 G25     NE 10 G22    E  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240900-
East Tennessee District West-
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (-14)  47-52 (-2)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (+12)  93-98 (-1)   57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E  8 G20                  NE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  8 G23    NE  9 G24    LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     100          70           20
Precip duration       8            2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.99         0.12         0.02
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2900                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)   E 16                      NE  7
Dispersion            22 Fair                   21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E 10 G20                  NE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE 10 G23    NE 11 G24    NE  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest early
in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower
80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-240900-
Cumberland District South-
350 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017 /250 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-14)  48-53 (-3)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      73-78 (+15)  95-100 (+1)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   N  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NE  5 G15    N  5
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     90           70           20
Precip duration       8            2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.74         0.07         0.01
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    2600                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)   E  6                      NE  8
Dispersion            7 Poor                    21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  5                     N  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  5        NE  6 G15    N  6

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest early in the
afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid
80s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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