Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 211850
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Another dry overnight expected with near normal
temperatures. On Tuesday, a cold front will approach the region
bringing increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms by Tuesday
afternoon. Unsettled weather will persist through Wednesday
providing more rainfall to the region. Drier weather can be expected
after Wednesday.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+3)   84-89 (-1)   65-70        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   49-54 (+8)   95-100       66-71
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5 G18                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           60           70
Precip duration                    1            3            3
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.22         0.15
LAL                   1            3            4            4
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6700                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     W  7
Dispersion                         52 Gen good               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  5        NW  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+1)   81-86 (0)    63-68        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  49-54 (+2)   93-98        64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5 G15                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           40           70
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.24
LAL                   1            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7100                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W  9
Dispersion                         41 Gen good               7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6 G15                  W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     W  5         NW  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Light winds
becoming north less than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-222000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+1)   81-86 (-1)   63-68        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  48-53 (+3)   94-99        65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5 G15                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           50           70
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.33
LAL                   1            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7200                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W  9
Dispersion                         41 Gen good               6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     SW  5        NW  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-222000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+3)   85-90 (-2)   65-70        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (0)   48-53 (+5)   95-100       62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           40           70
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.04         0.43
LAL                   1            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      NW  7
Dispersion                         37 Fair                   10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower
60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-222000-
Nantahala National Forest-
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   84-89 (-1)   64-69        78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   51-56 (+4)   95-100       62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.38
LAL                   1            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW  8
DISPERSION                         37 Fair                   9 Poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         7
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222000-
East Tennessee District East-
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+1)   86-91 (-1)   66-71        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (+6)   93-98        63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           50           70
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.09         0.20
LAL                   1            3            4            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      W  7
Dispersion                         56 Gen good               12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5 G16                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      NW  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming
light.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222000-
East Tennessee District West-
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+2)   87-92 (+1)   67-72        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-2)   45-50 (+2)   92-97        63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           50           60
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.18         0.17
LAL                   1            3            4            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     NW  6
Dispersion                         49 Gen good               12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-222000-
Cumberland District South-
250 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017 /150 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+3)   87-92 (0)    68-73        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (-2)   45-50 (0)    93-98        62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           40           70
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.09         0.33
LAL                   1            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5700                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      NW  7
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      NW  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid
80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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