Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 291522
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR VIRGIN MESA WUI...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
922 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
DRY...WARM AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
TODAY AND MONDAY...RESULTING IN LATE DAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALTHOUGH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL
BE A ISOLATED CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS
IN THE VICINITY OF THIS ACTIVITY. STORM MOTION WILL BE FROM WEST TO
EAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH. A SLIGHT UPTICK IN COVERAGE IS FORECAST MONDAY.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY LOOKS TO BE FAIR.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT 3/29/15
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......SUNNY IN THE MORNING WITH INCREASING MID AND
                       HIGH CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A
                       SLIGHT CHANCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......5 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-69.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 12-17 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...15500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/147296 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/58889 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/147296 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36-41.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 54-59 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH DECREASING SOUTHEAST
                       3 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/135000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       AND FAIR/52500 KNOT-FT LATE-EVENING.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63-67.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 14-19 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...15500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..WEST 11 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/170500 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/63656 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       EXCELLENT/170500 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...11

$$

REQUESTED BY...TODD DECKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150329.VIRGI.01/ABQ






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