National Weather Service Text Product Display

Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS75 KABQ 151630
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LA JOYA...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1030 AM MDT WED MAY 15 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...MID LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE SPOT LOCATION WILL BEGIN
TO BE PUSHED TO THE EAST TODAY AS A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS PUNCHES INTO
WESTERN NEW MEXICO. THE DRIER AIR AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL CAUSE
THE MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS TO DISSIPATE SOMEWHAT BY LATE
MORNING...HOWEVER THE DAYTIME HEATING WILL ALSO BRING INCREASED
INSTABILITY THAT WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE REGION BEGINNING IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
GENERALLY BE OF THE DRY VARIETY WITH STRONG GUSTY AND EMPHASIZED
ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE. STORMS WILL TEND TO MOVE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST WITH SPEEDIER MOVEMENT TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY.
THE CHANCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS BEFORE ENDING. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THURSDAY AS THE DRIER AIR MASS FROM THE WEST OVERTAKES ALL OF
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. HAINES OF 6 PROJECTED LATE IN THE DAY TODAY
AND DURING MOST OF THE AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1015 MDT 5/15/13
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY
                       WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73-76.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 14-16 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO
                       12 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 21 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/284700 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/181481 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/284700 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41-45.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 35-40 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH THROUGH
                       AROUND SUNSET THEN DECREASING TO 5 TO 8
                       MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH EARLY.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/260000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       BECOMING POOR/1500 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY DURING THE MORNING...BECOMING
                       PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
                       A FEW FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74-78.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 9-11 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUST UP TO 22 MPH
                       DURING THE PEAK HEATING PERIOD.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 16 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/225985 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/136356 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/225985 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...19

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC TRAINEE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130515.LAJOY.01/ABQ
National Weather Service National Headquarters
