Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 171328
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR 7130 RX...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
728 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
AN ORGANIZED BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SPINNING OFF TROPICAL
STORM ODILE SHOULD PASS THE BURN AREA TO THE SOUTHEAST TODAY...BUT
MESOSCALE MODELS DO SUGGEST SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY MAKE IT UP THERE
AROUND LATE MORNING AND MID DAY. THEN...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD NOT BE
VERY GUSTY OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE FORMER
HURRICANES CIRCULATION PASSES FROM GALLUP TO CHAMA.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT 9/17/14
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A
                       SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61-65.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 61-66 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       EAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...9000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTHEAST 11 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/90000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/41474 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/90000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-52.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 90-94 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/52990 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       FAIR/44000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE
                       OF THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58-62.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 68-73 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...8500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTH 15 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/112000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/66543 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING BECOMING VERY
                       GOOD/112000 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...44

$$

REQUESTED BY...DARRYL WILSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140917.7130R.01/ABQ






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