Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 191142
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKS LAKE RX...ZUNI FIRE MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
542 AM MDT TUE AUG 19 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
A MONSOONAL MOISTURE PLUME WILL SHIFT INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO
DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. WITH THIS MOISTURE WILL
COME INCREASED CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND WETTING RAIN. SOME
STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH.
BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. STORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST
AROUND 15-20 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND DOWNWARD DUE TO THE
CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
BE A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. CHANCES FOR STORMS DECREASE ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE PLUME SHIFTS EASTWARD. TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY
WILL BE 5 TO 8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT 8/19/14
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                       MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       LIKELY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74-78.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 41-45 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 6 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...8500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..WEST 15 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/85333 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/42235 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/85333 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52-56.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 88-92 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING 3 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/73768 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       GOOD/77000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR WEDNESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72-76.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 40-44 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING 7 TO 11 MPH
                       IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...9000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/95133 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/68459 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/95133 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...HEATH WEEKOOTY
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140819.JACKS.01/ABQ






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