Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 161433
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO MONTOSO...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
833 AM MDT THU OCT 16 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS ALTHOUGH LOOK FOR
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN HUMIDITY AS THE MID LEVEL DRY INTRUSION
ERODES OR WEAKENS. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD NOT BE ALL THAT GUSTY DUE
TO THE WEAKER FLOW ALOFT. THE STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE
FIRE AREA THIS MORNING. THE STRONG RADIATION INVERSION THAT
DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT SHOULD BREAK BETWEEN 1030 TO 1200 THIS MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. ANOTHER STRONG RADIATION INVERSION WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT
ALONG THE MIDSLOPE.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0820 MDT 10/16/14
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64-71.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 17-21 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN WIND 3 TO 5 MPH DURING THE MORNING
                       BECOMING WEST/SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH BY THE
                       AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS IN THE MID
                       TEENS EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...7000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTH 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/84000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/19185 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       GOOD/84000 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLEAR.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30-38.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 50-65 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED 3 TO 5 MPH.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/6000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING AND
                       POOR/0 KNOT-FT LATE-EVENING.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY DURING THE MORNING WITH
                       INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS DURING THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64-71.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 19-24 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED 3 TO 5 MPH DURING THE
                       MORNING BECOMING WEST/SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9
                       MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...6500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTH 12 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/65000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/14407 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       GOOD/65000 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...RONALD ESQUIBEL
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141016.CERRO.01/ABQ






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