Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 231447
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONKLIN CANYON...NMS-N2S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
847 AM MDT WED JUL 23 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
THE MONSOON WILL TAKE A LITTLE BIT OF A REPRIEVE THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS THE STRONG UPPER HIGH SAGS BACK SOUTH OVER THE AREA. VERY
LITTLE CHANCE OF A STORM IMPACTING THE FIRE AREA TODAY ALTHOUGH
CANT RULE OUT SOME VIRGA AFFECTS. LITTLE BETTER CHANCE ON THURSDAY
AS THE STEERING FLOW TURNS BACK TO A WESTERLY COMPONENT THUS TAKING
BUILDUPS OFF THE HIGHER SANGRE TERRAIN TOWARDS THE FIRE AREA. HIT
AND MISS HOWEVER. STEERING FLOW FOR STORMS TODAY WILL BE OUT OF THE
EAST/SOUTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARMER THAN NORMAL BY
6 TO 8 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOONS. HAINES VALUES WILL REMAIN
ON THE LOWER SIDE. GUSTIER SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY DURING THE MORNING...BECOMING
                       PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 87-89.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 24-25 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 6 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTH/SOUTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                       AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 23 MPH AT TIMES DURING
                       THE PEAK HEATING PERIOD. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...10000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTH 21 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/97147 KNOT-FT AT 1900 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/29948 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/82244 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51-55.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 74-79 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                       TO 7 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/97147 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       GOOD/73500 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84-88.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 24-29 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...12000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..WEST 16 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/156000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/112431 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/156000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...TERESITA GRUVER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140723.CONKL.01/ABQ






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