Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 181934
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CUERNO...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
134 PM MDT THU AUG 18 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH FRIDAY.
STORM MOTION WILL BE TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. A
DIRECT HIT FROM ANY STORM WILL PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. FRIDAY WILL
BE A LITTLE WARMER AND DRIER...BUT NOT WITHOUT THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH
WILL MOVE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY LINGER
LONGER FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO THE AFFECTS OF A WEST AND SOUTHWARD
MOVING COLD FRONT SO WINDS MAY BECOME ERRATIC AS WELL.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       LIKELY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73-77.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 34-39 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING WEST 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 8 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/66153 KNOT-FT AT 1400 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/33102 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       GOOD/60000 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-53.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 80-85 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/32500 KNOT-FT BY EARLY EVENING AND
                       POOR/3000 KNOT-FT BY LATE EVENING.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74-78.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 30-35 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/56000 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/46800 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       FAIR/49185 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

$$

REQUESTED BY...ANDRE CORDOVA
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160818.CUERN.01/ABQ



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