Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 231655
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIGUEL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1055 AM MDT THU JUL 23 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
MONSOON PLUME STRETCHED FROM SOUTHEAST ARIZONA NORTH AND EASTWARD
ALONG WESTERN NM BORDER AND ALONG/EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
GENERAL ORIENTATION OF THE PLUME EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
FRIDAY. VENT RATES ONLY FAIR TO POOR THROUGH FRIDAY. CELL MOTION
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM SOUTH/SOUTHWEST TO NORTH/NORTHEAST
AT 5 TO 10 MPH ALTHOUGH MAY BE OUTFLOW DOMINATED...THEREFORE
ERRATIC MOVEMENT.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78-83.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 24-29 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/52705 KNOT-FT AT 1000 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/52705 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       POOR/32259 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50-55.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 74-79 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED 5 TO 10 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/18000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING AND
                       POOR/3000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE
                       OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74-79.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 9 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/59500 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/42611 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       FAIR/52238 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

$$

REQUESTED BY...MT  TAYLOR DISTRICT
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150723.MIGUE.01/ABQ


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