Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 201510
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHAW...SCORRO BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
910 AM MDT WED JUL 20 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
UPPER HIGH CENTER TO PUSH WESTWARD THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS CUTTING
OFF THE FLOW OF MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH AND THEREFORE HUMIDITIES
AND AREAL COVER OF CONVECTION TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY DECREASE. CELL
MOTION TO BE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AROUND 10 MPH TODAY AND TONIGHT
AND TRENDING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH THURSDAY.
WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG OUTSIDE OF ANY STORM ACTIVITY.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE
                       OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84-88.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 12 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/111420 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/49173 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/111420 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54-58.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 65-70 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84-88.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 9 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/98864 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/50106 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       GOOD/98864 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

$$

REQUESTED BY...TODD RICHARDS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160720.SHAW_.01/ABQ



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