Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 271632
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SANTA ROSA LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1032 AM MDT WED JUL 27 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
UPPER HIGH CENTER OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH SURFACE LEE TROUGH.
SLOW DRYING OVERALL WITH CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN DIMINISHING INTO
THURSDAY AND HUMIDITIES DECREASING AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM.
STORM MOTION TODAY AND THIS EVENING WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND MAY BE
EVENTUALLY DRIVEN BY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...WHICH MAY BE A CONCERN
FOR THE BURN SITE. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE DUE TO OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.
VENT RATES TO IMPROVE THURSDAY.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92-96.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                       IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 3 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......POOR/34500 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/20547 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       POOR/24000 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63-67.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 70-75 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/72206 KNOT-FT BY EARLY EVENING AND
                       FAIR/42500 KNOT-FT BY LATE EVENING.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94-98.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 15-20 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 6 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/63917 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/44500 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       GOOD/63917 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

$$

REQUESTED BY...ANDREW VALDEZ
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160727.SANTA.01/ABQ


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