Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 271701
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PERDIDA...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1101 AM MDT SAT JUN 27 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON OVER OR NEAR THE BURN AREA. STORMS SHOULD MOVE OFF
SOUTHWESTWARD OFF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. LATEST HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS SUGGEST STORMS WILL ARRIVE BETWEEN 3 AND
4PM...THOUGH MAY BE SLIGHTLY SOONER AND OF COURSE...MAY LINGER.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. HUMIDITIES SHOULD BE A
LITTLE HIGHER TODAY OWNING TO THE BACK DOOR FRONT THAT PUSHED
THROUGH OVERNIGHT. A LITTLE WARMER WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES ON
SUNDAY...THOUGH STILL EXPECTING ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS TO ROLL
THROUGH. AGAIN...STORMS WILL MOVE OFF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       LIKELY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67-71.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 43-47 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
                       OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY
                       BE FROM THE EAST OR NORTHEAST.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/46467 KNOT-FT AT 1300 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/40430 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       POOR/38000 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-51.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 83-88 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........EAST OR NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING
                       TO THE SOUTH 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/11889 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING AND
                       POOR/9000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR SUNDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE
                       OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-73.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 30-35 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......EAST 11 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/94109 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/40128 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       GOOD/94109 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...KYLE SAHD
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150627.PERDI.01/ABQ


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