Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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FNUS75 KABQ 191523
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JEMEZ BOSQUE PILES...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
923 AM MDT FRI AUG 19 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE CROSSING NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY. STORM
MOTION WILL BE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. A DIRECT HIT
FROM ANY STORM WILL PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. SATURDAY WILL BE
COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES DUE TO A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH AND
WESTWARD. STORMS SATURDAY WILL MOVE MORE SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST
WITH POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0910 MDT 8/19/16
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82-86.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 26-31 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
                       THE WEST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/142174 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/55289 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/142174 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55-59.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 68-73 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
                       THE SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/110000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY EVENING
                       AND POOR/1500 KNOT-FT BY LATE EVENING.

FOR SATURDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77-81.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 35-40 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/90922 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/35415 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       GOOD/90922 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

$$

REQUESTED BY...B LA C HARRINGTON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160819.JEMEZ.01/ABQ


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