Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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FNUS75 KABQ 031247 CCA
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MELROSE RANGE RX...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
647 AM MDT THU SEP 3 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

CORRECTED WESTERN TO EASTERN IN THE FIRST LINE OF THE DISCUSSION.

DISCUSSION...
THE BURN AREA WILL BE ON THE EASTERN FRINGE OF A RICH MONSOON
MOISTURE PLUME WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY AND NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON SATURDAY. WINDS SHOULD BE A LITTLE GUSTY
EACH AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TREND DOWNWARD THROUGH
SATURDAY BEFORE REBOUNDING A FEW DEGREES ON SUNDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT 9/3/15
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91-95.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 23-28 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10
                       TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/158761 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/75464 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       EXCELLENT/158761 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       EVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63-67.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 64-69 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 7
                       TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/138000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       AND POOR/15000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88-92.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 29-34 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                       SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 17 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/187635 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/73121 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       EXCELLENT/187635 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...44

$$

REQUESTED BY...GARY SMITH
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150903.MELRO.01/ABQ



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