Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 271453
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOS GRIEGOS...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
853 AM MDT SAT SEP 27 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHES OF FOG WILL SLOWLY BURN OFF
TOWARD NOON. AFTER A BRIEF CLEARING TREND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
ADDITIONAL CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL BUILD UP...TURNING INTO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL TURN LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH
BY THE AFTERNOON...BUT ANY PASSING SHOWER OR STORM WILL BE CAPABLE
OF THROWING OUT A STRONG AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW GUST. WITH TEMPERATURES
REACHING THE UPPER 60S BY AFTERNOON...THE MINIMUM HUMIDITY SHOULD
FALL TO NEAR 50 PERCENT. ADDITIONAL LOW CLOUDS COULD REDEVELOP EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING WITH MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...SOME OF WHICH COULD TURN SEVERE.


FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT 9/27/14
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......OVERCAST WITH LOW CLOUDS AND SOME FOG SLOWLY
                       BURNING OFF BETWEEN 1000 AND NOON. AFTER A
                       BRIEF PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN THE
                       EARLY AFTERNOON...NEW CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL
                       GROW AND DEVELOP INTO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF AFTERNOON WETTING
                       PRECIPITATION IS 40 PERCENT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-69.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 48-53 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT LESS THAN 4 MPH THROUGH
                       1300...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AT 5 TO 9 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...5500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTH 14 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/45000 KNOT-FT AT 1800 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/12216 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/41433 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND
                       STORMS BECOMING FEWER AND LESS LIKELY AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF WETTING PRECIPITATION IS
                       40 PERCENT THROUGH MIDNIGHT...AND 20 PERCENT
                       THEREAFTER.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38-42.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 95-100 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS AT 5 TO 9 MPH THROUGH 2100...
                       TURNING LIGHT AND TERRAIN DOMINATED
                       THEREAFTER. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                       NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/45000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       FAIR/42000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR SUNDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......BATCHES OF LOW CLOUDS WILL BE AROUND EARLY
                       SUNDAY MORNING WITH CLOUD BASES RAISING INTO
                       THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                       ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH A 60 PERCENT
                       CHANCE OF WETTING RAINFALL. SOME STORMS COULD
                       PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTS ABOVE 50 MPH.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......70 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57-61.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 72-77 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND TERRAIN DOMINATED IN THE MORNING...
                       BECOMING SOUTH AT 8 TO 11 MPH BY 1300 WITH
                       OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...6000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/120000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/24183 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/120000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...52

$$

REQUESTED BY...331
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140927.LOSGR.01/ABQ






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