Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 041327
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MELROSE RANGE RX...GLACIER TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
727 AM MDT FRI SEP 4 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
THE BURN AREA WILL BE ON THE EASTERN FRINGE OF A RICH MONSOON
MOISTURE PLUME WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FAVORING THE LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING EACH DAY THROUGH
MONDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON SATURDAY. A
LEE SURFACE TROUGH SHOULD MAKE WINDS A LITTLE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON
AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TREND DOWNWARD
THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE REBOUNDING A FEW DEGREES ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT 9/4/15
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 90-94.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                       SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 16 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/168411 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/70005 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       EXCELLENT/168411 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63-67.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 71-76 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/160000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING
                       AND POOR/22500 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR SATURDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 87-91.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 31-36 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO
                       17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/145837 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/61689 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/145837 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...44

$$

REQUESTED BY...GARY SMITH
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150904.MELRO.01/ABQ



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