Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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991
FNUS75 KABQ 281401
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCGAFFEY...TIDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
801 AM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY WITH A BIT MORE
SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. STORM MOTION WILL
BE SLOW FROM NORTH AND NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. ANY
STORM WILL PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG BUT FAIRLY BRIEF
OUTFLOW WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH
FAIRLY LOW HUMIDITIES PRIOR TO ANY STORMS. RECOVERIES TONIGHT GOOD TO
EXCELLENT...THE LATTER ESPECIALLY IF RAINFALL OCCURS LATER TODAY.
FRIDAY WILL SEE A SLIGHTLY GREATER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH
WETTING RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY WITH MODESTLY HIGHER
HUMIDITY.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A FEW SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS OVER OR NEAR THE FIRE MAINLY
                       AFTER 1 PM.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83-87.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 22-27 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTH THROUGH WEST 5 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                       AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 19 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/174444 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/37427 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       EXCELLENT/174444 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 PERCENT
                       AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45-50.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 75-80 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH THROUGH WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                       MAINLY TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 9 MPH AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR STORMS
                       IN THE EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/161500 KNOT-FT BY EARLY EVENING
                       AND POOR/1000 KNOT-FT BY LATE EVENING.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81-85.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 24-29 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO
                       SOUTH THROUGH WEST 5 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                       AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/108000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/23447 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/108000 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...43

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160728.MCGAF.01/ABQ



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