Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 181253
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKS LAKE RX...ZUNI FIRE MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
653 AM MDT MON AUG 18 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM BY 2 PM NEAR THE
BURN AREA. STORMS WILL MOVE VERY SLOW AND ERRATIC...BUT
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH GUSTY
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COLLISIONS MAY
GENERATE NEW STORMS PROLONGING STORMS INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS BUT THIS WILL
CHANGE ON TUESDAY. A PLUME OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL SURGE INTO
WESTERN NM...INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE
CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION WILL DROP HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND
10 DEGREES FROM TODAYS READINGS...AND WILL BE BELOW MID AUGUST
NORMALS. WHILE WETTING RAIN WILL BE SPOTTY TODAY...MORE WIDESPREAD
WETTING RAIN IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.


FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT 8/18/14
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83-87.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 24-29 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 MPH IN THE
                       MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO
                       10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...13500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..WEST 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/58548 KNOT-FT AT 1900 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/30322 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING FAIR/51198 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54-58.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 72-77 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       WEST 7 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/58548 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/12000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72-76.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 48-52 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...9000 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/110500 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/47259 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING VERY GOOD/110500 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...HEATH WEEKOOTY
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140818.JACKS.01/ABQ







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