Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 310119
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR FT  CRAIG...ABQ IMT3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
719 PM MDT THU JUL 30 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN AREA
THIS EVENING. BASED ON STORM MOTIONS AND PROPAGATIONS OF OTHER
ACTIVITY IN THE AREA...WHICH IS GENERALLY TO THE EAST OR NORTHEAST
AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH...CHANCES ARE GOOD THAT A THUNDERSTORM WILL
IMPACT THE BURN AREA DIRECTLY THIS EVENING. EVEN IF THAT DOES NOT
OCCUR...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIRES FROM THESE STORMS WILL ALMOST
CERTAINLY IMPACT THE AREA RESULTING IN ERRATIC WIND GUSTS. SOME
SHOWERS SHOULD LAST WELL INTO THE EVENING IF NOT OVERNIGHT HOURS
ONCE AGAIN. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORM MOTIONS MAY BE EVEN SLOWER...WHICH
MAY MAKE IT SLIGHTLY MORE DIFFICULT FOR STORMS TO MOVE OFF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. NONETHELESS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63-67.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 82-86 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/60000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING AND
                       POOR/10000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR FRIDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 87-91.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 29-34 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 9 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/90559 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/17735 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       GOOD/90559 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...TROY CACHINI
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150730.FTCRA.02/ABQ


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