Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 211339
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR JEMEZ BOSQUE PILES...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
739 AM MDT SUN AUG 21 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

NOTE...JEMEZ SPRINGS SITE NOT REPORTING WHEN I LOOKED FOR IT THIS
MORNING...THUS NO INITIAL CONDITIONS NEARBY TO START FORECAST WITH.

DISCUSSION...
A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF SPOTTY SHOWERS AND STORMS MAINLY AFTER 1 PM
TODAY...MOST OF THE WETTING VARIETY...BUT A FEW THAT MAY PRODUCE
JUST UNDER WETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS. NOT A GREAT DEAL OF CHANGE IN
MAX TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM RH COMPARED TO SATURDAY AND MAYBE VERY
SLIGHTLY DRIER MONDAY, BUT STILL A FAIR CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.
GOOD TO VERY GOOD RH RECOVERY TONIGHT.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0730 MDT 8/21/16
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT THIS MORNING THEN 40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81-85.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........MAINLY TERRAIN DOMINATED 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                       10 OR 11 AM SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AND
                       SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH THEREAFTER. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/49000 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/46064 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       POOR/17244 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52-56.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 75-80 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED 5 TO 10 MPH
                       SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/20000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY EVENING AND
                       POOR/3500 KNOT-FT BY LATE EVENING.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT EARLY THEN 40 PERCENT BY
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80-84.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 27-32 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
                       MAINLY SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH TOWARD AND
                       DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/98617 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/27052 KNOT-FT AROUND MID MORNING AND
                       GOOD/98617 KNOT-FT BY MID AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...43

$$

REQUESTED BY...B LA C  HARRINGTON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160821.JEMEZ.01/ABQ



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