Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 291005
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PERDIDA...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
405 AM MDT SAT AUG 29 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD AGAIN DEVELOP ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN
SURROUNDING THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY
PLAY A BIGGER ROLE TODAY IN PERHAPS DEVELOPING A THUNDERSTORM OVER
OR NEAR THE BURN AREA. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE A THREAT WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM. STORM CHANCES DECREASE ON MONDAY AS THE MAIN
MOISTURE PLUME DEVELOPS OVER FAR WESTERN NEW MEXICO. ONLY FAIR
VENTILATION IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT SHOULD IMPROVE ON SUNDAY.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
   AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-73.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 25-30 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO
                       7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR/50790 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/24370 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       FAIR/50790 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48-52.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 74-79 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 4 TO
                       7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       EVENING.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/42500 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING AND
                       POOR/2500 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR SUNDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71-75.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 30-35 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/100419 KNOT-FT AT 1700 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/46114 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/100419 KNOT-FT BY MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...34

$$

REQUESTED BY...RICHARD A WALLACH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150828.PERDI.01/ABQ



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