Short Term Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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FPUS75 KABQ 200017
NOWABQ

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
615 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

NMZ501>504-510-511-517-200215-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAMA...CUBA...DULCE...ESPANOLA...
FARMINGTON...LOS ALAMOS
615 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
BEFORE 800 PM...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.  LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE A
PASSING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
NAVAJO DAM...COUNSELOR...NAGEEZI...CEDAR HILL...
FARMINGTON...BURNHAM...AND CHACO CANYON. BRIEF BURSTS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY ANY OF THE PASSING THUNDERSTORMS WITH
RAINFALL RATES UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH PER HOUR AND POSSIBLY
PEA SIZED HAIL AS WELL AS WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.

$$

NMZ505>509-519>521-200215-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
EL MORRO...GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...QUEMADO...
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...TIJERAS...SOCORRO
615 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
BEFORE 800 PM...A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO TO THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS. MOVEMENT OF THE ACTIVITY
MAY BE ERRATIC...OR TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE THE BELEN AREA AND THE MANZANO
MOUNTAINS. IN ADDITION...A LINE OF STORMS STRETCHING FROM SANTA FE
TO CLINES CORNERS MAY RESULT IN A GUSTY EAST WIND TO AROUND 40 MPH
INTO THE EASTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA AFTER 7 PM.

$$

NMZ524>526-538>540-200215-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...ELK...GRAN QUIVIRA...PICACHO...
ROSWELL...RUIDOSO
615 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
BEFORE 800 PM...A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. STORM MOTIONS
WILL BE ERRATIC OR TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. MOST OF THE SHOWERS WILL BE
FOUND OVER LINCOLN COUNTY. OVER CHAVES COUNTY...LOW CLOUDS AND
PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP TOWARDS THE 8 OCLOCK HOUR...AND SHOWERS MAY
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REGION.

$$

NMZ512>516-518-522-523-527>533-200215-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-UNION COUNTY-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CAPULIN...CLAYTON...
CLINES CORNERS...CONCHAS...LAS VEGAS...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...PECOS...
CERRO/QUESTA...RATON...SPRINGER...RED RIVER...ROY...SANTA FE...
SANTA ROSA...TAOS
615 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
BEFORE 800 PM...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
EXTEND FROM THE TAOS AND EMBUDO AREAS THROUGH COWLES...SANTA FE...
ANTON CHICO...CLINES CORNERS...DILIA...AND SANTA ROSA. THIS AREA OF
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY TO THE WEST AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL RATES OF ONE INCH AN HOUR OR MORE WERE DETECTED BY RADAR
WITH THE EMBEDDED STORMS...THEREFORE FLOODING OF AREA LOW WATER
CROSSINGS AND NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...A FEW
SHOWERS AND A SHORT LIVED STORM OR TWO WILL STRETCH FROM CIMARRON
TOWARDS CAPULIN AND GLADSTONE...BUT WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS THEY MOVE
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST.

$$




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