Short Term Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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FPUS75 KABQ 191700
NOWABQ

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1100 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

NMZ501>506-510-511-517-191900-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAMA...CUBA...DULCE...EL MORRO...
ESPANOLA...FARMINGTON...GALLUP...LOS ALAMOS
1100 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DOT THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF
NEW MEXICO THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE JEMEZ AND CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE REGION AFTER 100 PM OR SO.  LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE A
BRIEF SPRINKLE OR LIGHT SHOWER INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
DULCE...EL VADO...CHAMA...TIERRA AMARILLA...CANJILON...AND EL RITO.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE A TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH
AS THE SPOTTY LIGHT PRECIPITATION TRACKS NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NMZ508-509-520-191900-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLENWOOD...QUEMADO...SOCORRO
1100 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ACTIVE FROM THE LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY WEST TO THE ARIZONA STATE LINE TO INCLUDE THE UPPER
GILA REGION...THE DATIL...MAGDALENA AND SAN MATEO MOUNTAINS AND
PLAINS OF SAN AUGUSTIN. BETWEEN 1100 AM AND 100 PM...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF A FENCE LAKE TO ALAMO TO
BERNARDO LINE AND GENERALLY NEAR AND WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE. AREAS
NEAR QUEMADO...QUEMADO LAKE...HORSE SPRINGS WILL BE AMONG THE MORE
ACTIVE AS WILL LOCATIONS ALONG THE RIO SALADO AND LADRON MOUNTAINS
NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO EXTENDING SOUTH TO MAGDALENA RIDGE OBSERVATORY
TO DUSTY. BURSTS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA SIZED HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 OR 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM ANY PASSING
THUNDERSTORM. OUTSIDE THUNDERSTORMS...RAINFALL TOTALS WILL GENERALLY
AVERAGE LESS THAN ONE TENTH INCH IN AN HOURS TIME. THE ACTIVITY WILL
MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 20 MPH.

$$

NMZ524>526-538>540-191900-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...ELK...GRAN QUIVIRA...PICACHO...
ROSWELL...RUIDOSO
1100 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER
PORTIONS OF LINCOLN AND CHAVES COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
THIS INCLUDES AREAS FROM CARRIZOZO TO RUIDOSO...LINCOLN...ARABELA AND
PICACHO AS WELL AS FROM THE ROSWELL AREA SOUTH TOWARD ARTESIA AND
HOPE.  THERE WAS STILL NO CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING  DETECTED WITH
THIS ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...GRADUAL DAYTIME HEATING WILL PROMOTE
AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDDAY.THE SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

KJONES





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