Short Term Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FPUS75 KABQ 221749
NOWABQ

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1149 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ525-526-535>540-221900-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...CLOVIS...ELK...FORT SUMNER...
PICACHO...PORTALES...ROSWELL...RUIDOSO
1149 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND OVER THE
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  THROUGH 100 PM...THE HEAVIEST
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER
VALLEY TO INCLUDE THE HIGHWAY 285 CORRIDOR FROM THE ROSWELL AREA
NORTH TO VAUGHN. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES UP TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS FAVORING AREAS
BETWEEN ROSWELL...THE MESA REST AREA AND AS FAR NORTH AS YESO ALONG
HIGHWAY 60. EVEN MODERATE AMOUNTS OF RAIN ON TOP OF THE SATURATED
CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF WITH HIGH FLOWS CONTINUING IN
ARROYOS...DRAWS...AND SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS THAT FEED TOWARD THE
PECOS RIVER.  ELSEWHERE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED. A GENERAL
MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED.

$$

NMZ501>511-516-517-221900-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAMA...CUBA...DULCE...EL MORRO...
ESPANOLA...FARMINGTON...GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...LOS ALAMOS...
QUEMADO...TAOS
1149 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 100 PM....A BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO.  THE ROUGHLY 50-MILE WIDE BAND WILL LIKELY
STRETCH FROM THE LOS PINOS AND TRES PIEDRAS AREAS SOUTHWEST TO
LINDRITH...PUEBLO PINTADA...CROWNPOINT...GALLUP AND ZUNI. RAINFALL
RATES WILL AVERAGE LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH IN AN HOURS TIME BUT
MUCH HEAVIER THOUGH MORE ISOLATED AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE
INCH ARE LIKELY WITH ANY OF THE PASSING THUNDERSTORMS.  THE COVERAGE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY INCREASE INTO THE EARLY
PART OF THE AFTERNOON. RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING.   STORM MOTIONS WILL GENERALLY BE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NMZ512>515-527>534-221900-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-QUAY COUNTY-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
UNION COUNTY-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CAPULIN...CLAYTON...
CONCHAS...LAS VEGAS...PECOS...CERRO/QUESTA...RATON...SPRINGER...
RED RIVER...ROY...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI
1149 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 100 PM...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP FROM THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS TO THE EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PLAINS.  THE INTENSITY OF
INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO INCREASE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.
HOURLY RAINFALL RATES UP TO ONE THIRD INCH ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED BUT
ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS APPROACHING ONE INCH PER HOUR CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH ANY PASSING THUNDERSTORM. A GENERAL MOVEMENT TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED THOUGH STORM MOTIONS WILL REMAIN SLOW AND
LESS THAN 10 MPH.  SOME OF THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL IMPACT AREAS
NEAR AND JUST EAST OF THE SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS NEAR
CHACON...TERRERO...ROCIADA...AND SAPELLO AS WELL AS THE CANADIAN
ESCARPMENT BETWEEN ROY AND CONCHAS RESERVOIR.


$$

NMZ518>524-221900-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
CLINES CORNERS...GRAN QUIVIRA...MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...TIJERAS...SANTA FE...SOCORRO
1149 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 100 PM...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DOT
THE LANDSCAPE OF CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVITY
FOCUSED FROM THE ESTANCIA BASIN SOUTH TO THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS
NEAR CORONA AND BINGHAM.  WITH ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING...SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN INITIALLY.
A GENERAL MOVEMENT OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE TOWARD THE NORTH
AND NORTHEAST AT AROUND 10 MPH.


$$

KJ




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.