Short Term Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FPUS75 KABQ 191814
NOWABQ

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1214 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

NMZ501>504-510>518-527>529-192000-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGEL FIRE...MORA...CAPULIN...CHAMA...
CUBA...DULCE...ESPANOLA...FARMINGTON...LAS VEGAS...LOS ALAMOS...
PECOS...CERRO/QUESTA...RATON...SPRINGER...RED RIVER...SANTA FE...TAOS
1214 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 200 PM...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND
TRACK SLOWLY NORTHEAST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO.  LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE A PASSING SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO COWLES...TERRERO...
GASCON...CHACON...COYOTE...PAJARITO...VERMEJO PARK...CHAMA AND LOS
PINOS.  BURSTS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY ANY OF
THE PASSING THUNDERSTORMS WITH RAINFALL RATES UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF
AN INCH PER HOUR.

$$

NMZ505>509-520-192000-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EL MORRO...GALLUP...GLENWOOD...GRANTS...
QUEMADO...SOCORRO
1214 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 200 PM...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN ACTIVE FROM
THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WEST TO THE ARIZONA STATE LINE TO INCLUDE
THE UPPER GILA REGION...THE DATIL...MAGDALENA AND SAN MATEO MOUNTAINS
AND PLAINS OF SAN AUGUSTIN. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF A ZUNI TO EL MORRO TO ACOMA PUEBLO LINE...AND
GENERALLY NEAR AND WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE. AREAS NEAR ZUNI PUEBLO...
FENCE LAKE...QUEMADO...PIETOWN...LUNA...RESERVE...ALAMO AND
MAGDALENA WILL BE AMONG THE MOST ACTIVE AREAS. BURSTS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 OR 50 MPH CAN
BE EXPECTED FROM ANY PASSING THUNDERSTORM. OUTSIDE THUNDERSTORMS...
RAINFALL TOTALS WILL GENERALLY AVERAGE LESS THAN ONE TENTH INCH IN AN
HOURS TIME. THE ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 20
MPH.

$$

NMZ524>526-538>540-192000-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARRIZOZO...ELK...GRAN QUIVIRA...PICACHO...
ROSWELL...RUIDOSO
1214 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 200 PM...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER  LINCOLN AND CHAVES COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON. THIS INCLUDES AREAS FROM CARRIZOZO TO RUIDOSO...LINCOLN...
ARABELA AND PICACHO AS WELL AS THE PECOS RIVER VALLEY EXTENDING WEST
TO THE MOUNTAINS. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
AT 15 TO 20 MPH. OUTSIDE THUNDERSTORMS...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
AVERAGE A TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.  HOWEVER...AS
THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO DEVELOP THEY WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED BURSTS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL.

$$

NMZ519-521-522-192000-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-ESTANCIA VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBUQUERQUE...LOS LUNAS...RIO RANCHO...
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...TIJERAS
1214 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.NOW...
THROUGH 200 PM...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO
IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND NEIGHBORING
SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS.  LOCATIONS THAT
MAY EXPERIENCE A PASSING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO ESCABOSA...BELEN...LOS CHAVES...LOS LUNAS...AND
MEADOWLAKE. BRIEF BURSTS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY
ANY OF THE PASSING THUNDERSTORMS WITH RAINFALL RATES UP TO THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH PER HOUR.

$$

KJONES



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