Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FNUS73 KABR 211633
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Conlon Burn...State of South Dakota
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1133 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Observations near the burn site reveal generally
west-southwest breezes, which are forecast to turn more true
southwesterly by late afternoon. Gusts up to around 20 mph are
possible by mid/late afternoon. Relative humidity is also around
20 percent, and is forecast to drop into the teens by peak heating
later this afternoon. Winds stay breezy overnight, and turn more
southerly. Hourly wind details are shown below.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......4400-5100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (43600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (84100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   1   1   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  56  59  61  61  63
RH..............23  19  18  17  18  18
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..12  13  14  15  17  17
20 FT wind gust.15  16  17  20  21  21
Smoke Dispersal.FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 13 to 17 mph decreasing to 9 to 12
                    mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400-4600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (79000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or (moderate) to (high).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   11  37  46  53  59  68  75  77  75  76  74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............63  62  58  51  48  47  47  46  45  43  43  42
RH..............18  20  25  32  40  42  45  49  52  58  57  62
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..17  16  13  14  14  14  15  15  13  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.22  22  20  18  21  23  24  24  22  20  18  15
Smoke Dispersal.GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...TMT
Requested by...Kody Conlon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411605.0/ABR
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kody.conlon2012@gmail.com


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