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FNAK79 PAFG 031447
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for SCIA RX...BLM
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
647 AM AKDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 AKDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An Arctic cold front over the fire will move north today.

A thermal low pressure trough over the Alaska Range will move north
over the fire tonight. Temperatures will warm to the upper 50s and
lower 60s with RH falling to 20-30 percent along this feature today.

A strong low in the Southern Bering Sea will move to the southeast
Bering Sea tonight, into Bristol Bay on Sat and into the Gulf of
Alaska on Sun. This will cause southerly Chinook winds develop
across the Alaska Range starting late today then continuing into Sat,
then decrease Sat night.  This will bringing dry, windy and warm
conditions to the Tanana Valley this evening through Sat night.

Isolated to scattered showers are expected over most of the
Eastern Interior on Sun as the Chinook ends.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 15 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph.
Inversion burnoff...10 AM.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 10 mph.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the morning, then scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...10 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Numerous showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
Northeast winds around 6 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Numerous showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated snow showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...collins bonds
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413039.0/AFG
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0