Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 201109
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
509 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2014

.AVIATION...
ANOTHER MORNING OF LOW STRATUS AND FOG FOR THE 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. KAMA
HAS MAINLY BEEN IMPACTED BY THE LOW STRATUS, KDHT IS MORE AFFECTED
BY PATCH FOG, AND KGUY HAS MISSED OUT SO FAR AS THE EDGE OF THE
STRATUS APPROACHES. WILL START OFF THE TAF CYCLE PESSIMISTIC WITH A
COMBINATION OF LIFR AND IFR AT THE TERMINALS. CURRENTLY THINK KGUY
WILL BRIEFLY EXPERIENCE DEGRADED CONDITIONS AROUND SUNRISE THEN
IMPROVE WHERE AS KAMA AND KDHT WILL SEE A SLOWER IMPROVEMENT THROUGH
THE LATE MORNING HOURS. ALL TERMINALS SHOULD IMPROVE BACK TO VFR
AFTER NOON WITH LIGHT WINDS. TONIGHT WILL BE QUESTIONABLE TO THE AREA
IMPACTED BY FOG /STRATUS REDEVELOPMENT. HAVE FLIGHT CATEGORIES
DROPPING TO IFR AT KAMA AROUND 9Z BUT KEPT KDHT AND KGUY VFR DUE TO
LOWER CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 420 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED.  AREAS OF FOG THIS MORNING
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY 10 AM.  MORE FOG EXPECTED TONIGHT.  EXPECT
CLOUDS TO LINGER MOST OF THE DAY IN SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN SECTIONS...
HOLDING MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY INTO THE MID- TO UPPER-40S.
REMAINING AREAS EXPECTED TO REACH LOWER 50S.

WARMER ON SUNDAY AS COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS DISPLACED
EASTWARD.

COLD FRONT MONDAY WILL REVERSE WARMING TREND IN NORTHERN SECTIONS...
AND WILL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN SOUTHERN
SECTIONS.  HAVE RETAINED LOW POPS IN NORTHWEST MONDAY...AND HAVE
INCREASED SAME MONDAY NIGHT IN WESTERN SECTIONS...WHILE SPREADING
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS EASTWARD TO INCLUDE SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE.
COULD SEE LIGHT SNOW MIX IN WITH LIGHT RAIN...BUT NO ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED.

NORTH WINDS ON TUESDAY EXPECTED TO HOLD MAX TEMPERATURES BELOW 50
DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  WARMING TREND WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS NEXT
LEE TROF DEVELOPS.  COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT CAUSES FRIDAY TO BE
COOLER AGAIN.

COCKRELL

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/03




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