Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 232335
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
635 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL ALLOW THE DRYLINE TO REMAIN
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THROUGH SUNDAY. THE DRYLINE SHOULD MIX EAST TO
NEAR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA STATE LINE BY 00Z MONDAY...HOWEVER IT MAY
ALSO STALL NEAR THE CAPROCK BY LATE SUNDAY. CONVECTION EXPECTED TO
MOVE EAST OF THE AMARILLO TAF SITE BY 00Z SUNDAY WITH DALHART AND
GUYMON TAF SITES WELL WEST OF THE ONGOING CONVECTION. VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BEHIND THE CONVECTION THIS EVENING WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR
LOW CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY FOG DEVELOP AFTER 01Z TO 03Z SUNDAY AT MAINLY
THE AMARILLO TAF SITE. DECIDED TO LEAVE OUT OF THE TAF FORECAST FOR
NOW GIVEN LOW CONFIDENCE BUT MAY BE INSERTED LATER THIS EVENING.
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH TO 5 TO 15
KNOTS AFTER 01Z SUNDAY...AND THEN BECOMING SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST 10 TO
20 KNOTS AFTER 14Z TO 16Z SUNDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NO CHANGES OF SIGNIFICANCE HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  THREAT
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
PANHANDLE CONTINUES FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. SEE TORNADO WATCH 194 FOR
DETAILS.

THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN...FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS
EASTERN ZONES THIS EVENING.  FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 100 AM
FOR EASTERN ONE THIRD OF FORECAST AREA.

DRYLINE EXPECTED TO ADVANCE INTO WESTERN SECTIONS ON SUNDAY...WITH
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS MAINLY
EASTERN SECTIONS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE
LATER PERIODS.

COCKRELL

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COLLINGSWORTH...DONLEY...GRAY...HEMPHILL...LIPSCOMB...
     OCHILTREE...ROBERTS...WHEELER.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BEAVER.


&&

$$

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