Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 251956
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
256 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A stationary front across the southeast Texas Panhandle may serve as
a focus for additional shower and thunderstorm development. Upper
level flow is parallel to this front, so training storms will be
likely in the southeast Texas Panhandle. Therefore, have gone ahead
and issued a Flood Watch for this area. Heavy rain producing
thunderstorms will be possible across other parts of the panhandles
overnight, but they do not look to be as well organized as in the
southeast. An elongated upper level trough over eastern New Mexico
will slowly lift northeast across the area overnight, so would
expect showers and storms to persist.

Chances of rain fall off a little on Friday for the panhandles as
the upper level trough moves off to the east. However, stronger
winds aloft will move across northern areas, so shower and
thunderstorm chances will be best there.

The flow aloft will remain out of the southwest through the first
half of next week. This will bring several upper level disturbances
and subtropical moisture over the panhandles. This should allow for
daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. By mid week next week an
upper level ridge will start to move over the area, so this may
diminish chances for rain a little.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                63  84  64  87  64 /  70  20  10  20  20
Beaver OK                  64  86  66  92  66 /  60  40  50  20  40
Boise City OK              60  83  61  86  61 /  50  40  40  30  30
Borger TX                  65  86  67  90  66 /  70  30  20  20  30
Boys Ranch TX              63  86  64  89  64 /  70  30  20  20  20
Canyon TX                  63  85  64  88  64 /  80  20  10  20  20
Clarendon TX               65  86  66  89  66 /  70  20  10  10  20
Dalhart TX                 61  85  62  88  62 /  60  30  40  20  30
Guymon OK                  63  85  65  90  65 /  60  40  50  30  40
Hereford TX                62  84  63  87  64 /  80  20  10  20  20
Lipscomb TX                65  86  67  91  67 /  70  30  20  20  40
Pampa TX                   63  83  65  88  65 /  70  20  10  20  30
Shamrock TX                66  87  68  91  68 /  70  10  10  10  30
Wellington TX              67  88  69  92  69 /  70  10  10  10  20

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Flood Watch through Friday morning for the following zones:
     Armstrong...Collingsworth...Donley...Gray...Hemphill...
     Wheeler.

OK...None.

&&

$$

14/15


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