Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KAMA 291907
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
207 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.UPDATE...
HAVE INSERTED MENTION OF ISOLATED STORMS ACROSS THE WEST AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE FOR THIS AFTERNOON. OVER THE PAST HOUR HAVE SEEN A
WIDE EXPANSION OF CU FIELD IN THIS AREA IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. STEERING FLOW AND THE TRACK OF THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD
LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF TIME THESE STORMS ARE ABLE TO RESIDE OVER THE
PANHANDLE. SHORT RANGE MODELS THAT LATCHED ONTO THE POTENTIAL FOR
THESE STORMS TO DEVELOP ADVERTISE THE SAME SCENARIO. OTHERWISE NO
OTHER CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1147 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT
ALL TERMINALS. LIGHT SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROUND THE DIAL
BEFORE SETTLING FROM A SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION BY LATE MORNING
TOMORROW.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHEAST CWA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY SWEEP SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REST OF THE PANHANDLES THIS
MORNING. NOT MUCH FAN FAIR WITH THIS FRONT OTHER THAN LIGHT
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS. ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH AND WEST TODAY.

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE FORECAST FROM YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE IS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TODAY
AND SUNDAY.  THE RIDGE THEN STRETCHES OUT FROM SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY MONDAY. WILL KEEP THE MAIN CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GOING FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS WEAK
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVES MOVE ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE.
ONE COULD ARGUE TO KEEP THUNDERSTORMS GOING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AS WELL..BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THEY WILL BE PRETTY ISOLATED...SO WILL
HOLD OFF FOR NOW AND MAYBE WE CAN PINPOINT A LOCATION BETTER AS WE
GET CLOSER.

WILL ADD SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE FORECAST FOR
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLES FOR FRIDAY AS A LITTLE STRONGER
SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN PART OF THE RIDGE.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/11



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.