Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 240939
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
439 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Upper trough over the central Rockies and Four Corners region will
track slowly east today and tonight towards the Panhandles. A cold
front over southwest Kansas and southeastern Colorado will push
slowly south and east today into the Oklahoma Panhandle and then into
the Texas Panhandle by late tonight or early Thursday. The front
should become stationary across the Texas Panhandle by late Thursday
before starting to push slowly south again Thursday night and early
Friday. Convection chances will increase through the end of the week
with the possibility for some storms to become strong to marginally
severe this afternoon and this evening...and again Thursday afternoon
and evening. Main threats will be damaging thunderstorm wind gusts to
around 60 mph and hail up to quarter size.

Abundant low level Gulf moisture remains in place over the Panhandles
today ahead of a pre-frontal surface trough now moving southeast
across the northwestern portions of the forecast area. Ahead of the
pre-frontal surface trough...surface dew points remain in the 60s
while behind the surface trough...dew points are in the 50s. Model
soundings forecasting PWATs in the 75th percentile for August today
through Thursday...therefore locally very heavy rainfall resulting in
flooding or flash flooding issues can be expected. Continued
southwesterly flow aloft across the Panhandles into the weekend and
early next week will allow for an active weather pattern as abundant
low level Gulf moisture will remain in place. Convection chances will
continue through early next week.

Schneider

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                85  62  81  61  83 /  40  60  50  50  30
Beaver OK                  90  63  81  61  86 /  40  60  40  50  20
Boise City OK              83  56  74  57  81 /  30  60  40  40  20
Borger TX                  89  64  82  63  86 /  30  60  50  50  20
Boys Ranch TX              89  61  81  61  86 /  30  50  40  50  20
Canyon TX                  86  62  83  61  85 /  40  60  40  50  30
Clarendon TX               87  64  87  63  87 /  40  60  50  50  30
Dalhart TX                 87  60  76  59  84 /  30  50  40  50  20
Guymon OK                  89  62  78  60  85 /  40  50  40  40  20
Hereford TX                87  61  82  60  86 /  40  60  40  50  30
Lipscomb TX                89  66  84  63  86 /  40  60  50  50  20
Pampa TX                   87  63  81  61  85 /  30  60  50  50  20
Shamrock TX                89  66  88  64  88 /  40  60  50  40  20
Wellington TX              91  67  91  65  90 /  40  60  40  30  20

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

2/11



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