Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 280843
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
343 AM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
MCS IS FINALLY MOVING SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA...WITH ONLY A FEW
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
TEXAS PANHANDLE.

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRAVERSES THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE AGAIN
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND THEY WILL LIKELY BRING SOME MORE HEAVY RAINFALL
TO PLACES THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL LAST NIGHT.

ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIPS SOUTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AND THIS WAVE COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY
AND MOISTURE SHOULD ALSO HELP TO PRODUCE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION.

A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE PANHANDLES EARLY SATURDAY...
WHICH WILL TAKE THE BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE SOUTH.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY
THROUGH THE REST OF THIS FORECAST. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY
DURING THIS PERIOD FOR NOW. BUT THE MODELS DO HINT AT SOME MINOR
SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH THIS RIDGE WHICH COULD HELP SPARK
SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PRAIRIE DOG TOWN FORK
OF THE RED RIVER NEAR WAYSIDE AND FOR THE CANADIAN RIVER NEAR
CANADIAN. THESE RIVERS WILL SLOWLY RECEDE TODAY...BUT THEY COULD GO
BACK UP IF MORE HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE
ALSO RECEIVED 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN...BUT MOST OF THIS FELL TO THE
SOUTH OF THE SALT FORK OF THE RED RIVER/S BASIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                76  58  78  56  70 /  60  40  20  50  30
BEAVER OK                  83  61  80  56  70 /  50  60  40  40  20
BOISE CITY OK              81  54  75  52  67 /  40  40  20  60  20
BORGER TX                  79  60  80  57  72 /  60  50  30  50  20
BOYS RANCH TX              80  58  79  56  72 /  60  40  20  50  20
CANYON TX                  77  58  78  57  70 /  60  40  20  60  30
CLARENDON TX               77  60  80  58  72 /  60  60  30  60  30
DALHART TX                 80  56  77  54  69 /  40  40  20  60  20
GUYMON OK                  82  58  78  54  70 /  60  50  30  50  20
HEREFORD TX                80  57  80  56  71 /  60  40  20  60  30
LIPSCOMB TX                79  61  78  57  69 /  50  60  40  40  20
PAMPA TX                   76  59  77  55  69 /  60  60  30  50  20
SHAMROCK TX                78  62  78  60  71 /  50  70  40  50  30
WELLINGTON TX              80  63  81  61  73 /  60  70  40  60  30

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...DEAF SMITH...
     DONLEY...GRAY...HEMPHILL...LIPSCOMB...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...
     POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...WHEELER.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BEAVER.


&&

$$

17/15





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