Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 260926
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
415 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AT THIS TIME BEING SUPPORTED BY
WARM AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL JET.  HAVE ADJUSTED
FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR GREATER COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING
THE MORNING TODAY.

OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE
FORECAST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  POPS IN NORTHWEST SECTIONS
HAVE BEEN INCREASED A BIT TONIGHT...DUE TO EXPECTED DYNAMICS PASSING
OVER DEVELOPING BAROCLINIC ZONE.

WEDNESDAY MORNING POPS HAVE BEEN SPREAD EAST TO INCLUDE ALL OF
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...DUE TO EXPECTED WARM AIR ADVECTION AROUND
850 MB.  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON POPS HAVE BEEN INCREASED IN SOUTHEAST
SECTIONS...OWING TO EXPECTED POSITION OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE.

POPS WEDNESDAY NIGHT HAVE BEEN INCREASED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN
AND NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS....BASED ON EXPECTED DYNAMICS TRAVERSING
INSTABILITY AXIS AS LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS.

HEALTHY POPS RETAINED THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...AS MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROF CROSSES THE FORECAST AREA.  NO POPS SATURDAY AND
BEYOND.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN WELL ABOVE 20
PERCENT THROUGH SUNDAY.  RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ON MONDAY ARE EXPECTED
TO FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT IN WESTERN SECTIONS...BUT WETTING RAINS
THIS WEEK WILL MAINTAIN FUEL MOISTURE...PRECLUDING ELEVATED OR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                93  67  89  64  88 /  20  10  30  30  30
BEAVER OK                  99  71  95  68  89 /  40  20  40  50  40
BOISE CITY OK              91  61  88  62  85 /  40  50  40  30  40
BORGER TX                  97  70  91  69  89 /  20  20  30  40  30
BOYS RANCH TX              94  69  91  64  89 /  30  20  30  30  30
CANYON TX                  93  66  91  63  88 /  20  10  30  30  30
CLARENDON TX               95  72  92  68  89 /  20   5  20  30  40
DALHART TX                 89  64  89  61  85 /  40  40  40  30  30
GUYMON OK                  95  68  92  65  88 /  40  30  40  40  40
HEREFORD TX                91  65  89  62  88 /  20  20  30  30  30
LIPSCOMB TX                96  70  92  69  88 /  30  10  30  40  40
PAMPA TX                   94  68  90  66  88 /  30  10  20  40  40
SHAMROCK TX                96  69  92  70  92 /  20   5  20  30  40
WELLINGTON TX              98  70  95  71  94 /  20   5  20  20  40

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

10/03




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