Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 270411 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1111 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z TAFS...LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUS AVIATION AFD REASONING.
A SFC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINAL SITES MONDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE.
PERIODS OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE ANTICIPATED DURG THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
OVERALL...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH LATE MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 705 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINAL SITES
MONDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. PERIODS OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
ANTICIPATED DURG THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OVERALL...VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON,

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  HAVE KEPT SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS GOING FOR NORTHEASTERN SECTIONS MONDAY MORNING DUE TO
EXPECTED BAROCLINICITY WITH COLD FRONT AS POTENT SHORTWAVE TROF
PASSES OVER REGION OF SLIGHTLY STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

HOWEVER...HAVE ELIMINATED MONDAY EVENING POPS AS POST-FRONTAL
AIRMASS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH TOO STABLE FOR MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION.  HAVE INCLUDED ISOLATED SPRINKLES WHERE EVENING POPS
WERE BEFORE.

HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED TO COVER MOST OF THE SKY AT VARIOUS TIMES
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.  OTHERWISE...GENERALLY CLEAR SKY
EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.  COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY PASSES WITH NO
PRECIPITATION...AND HOLDS TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO CLIMO THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.  FOLLOWING DEPARTURE OF MID-LEVEL RIDGE...NEXT WEEKEND SHOULD
BE BREEZY TO WINDY AND WARM.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$







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