Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 280947
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
345 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NOT MUCH CHANGE HAS BEEN MADE TO THE GOING FORECAST.  WARM AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED TODAY AND SATURDAY...WITH BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT BRINGING ONSET OF MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS SUNDAY.

STILL HAVE UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING TIMING OF FRONTAL PASSAGE ON
SUNDAY...BUT CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR AROUND NOON SUNDAY FROM BEAVER
TO LIPSCOMB...AND AROUND 6 PM SUNDAY FROM CLAYTON TO MEMPHIS.  THIS
WOULD ALLOW SOUTHWEST PART OF FORECAST AREA TO REACH THE LOWER-70S
WHILE HOLDING THE NORTHEAST SECTIONS TO THE MID-50S.  FUTURE
FORECASTS WILL BRING FURTHER REFINEMENTS.

AT ANY RATE...STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY.

MONDAY LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE FORECAST...WITH HIGHS IN
THE 30S.  RAPID MODIFICATION OF POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS GETS UNDERWAY
ON TUESDAY...WITH HIGHS ABOVE CLIMO TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY
ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...
GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM TEXHOMA TO GOODNIGHT.  SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES FALL WELL BELOW 20 PERCENT.  SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE...GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM SPEARMAN TO MEMPHIS.  ON
SUNDAY...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
SOUTHWEST 4 COUNTIES OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.  NO ELEVATED OR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                77  42  78  42  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
BEAVER OK                  73  34  78  33  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              77  39  78  37  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
BORGER TX                  76  45  79  43  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOYS RANCH TX              77  39  77  38  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
CANYON TX                  77  42  78  43  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLARENDON TX               75  43  80  42  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 78  36  77  34  64 /   0   0   0   0   0
GUYMON OK                  77  38  79  37  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
HEREFORD TX                78  41  80  42  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
LIPSCOMB TX                72  39  78  40  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   74  43  77  42  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                69  41  78  41  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              70  42  78  41  70 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/03




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