Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 292328
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
628 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS NM THIS
EVENING WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE WESTERN PANHANDLES THROUGH
04Z TO 06Z SATURDAY. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD LIKELY AFFECT THE DALHART
TAF SITE BETWEEN 00Z AND 04Z SATURDAY...AND THEN THE AMARILLO TAF
SITE BETWEEN 01Z AND 05Z SATURDAY. HELD OFF MENTIONING IN THE GUYMON
TAF SITE FOR NOW AS IT APPEARS THAT THIS CONVECTION WILL REMAIN SOUTH
AND WEST OF THE GUYMON TAF SITE TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT
ALL THREE TAF SITES EXCEPT FOR MVFR CONDITIONS IN AND NEAR THE
CONVECTION THIS EVENING. MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN LOW
CLOUDS AFTER 08Z TO 10Z SATURDAY AND THEN BECOMING VFR AFTER 15Z
SATURDAY. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY VEER
AROUND TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AFTER 20Z TO 23Z SATURDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHES EAST AND SOUTH ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. CONVECTION OVER CO AND NM WILL PUSH EQAST AND SOUTH
INTO THE WESTERN PANHANDLES BY THIS EVENING...AND THEN ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE PANHANDLES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. LINGERING CONVECTION
MAY BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE...DRIER CONDITIONS
WILL BE THE RULE THIS WEEKEND. UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES THIS WEEKEND AMPLIFYING NORTHEAST INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WITHIN THE RIDGE OVER THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES ALONG WITH A NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW SHOULD ALLOW
FOR MOUNTAIN AND HIGHER TERRAIN CONVECTION TO DEVELOP BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN PUSHING SOUTHEAST INTO THE
PANHANDLES. UPPER RIDGE TO MOVE EAST AND WEAKEN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES.
CONVECTION COULD BE POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT
AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES AND
CENTRAL ROCKIES AND PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH OR DRYLINE MIXES EAST
OUT OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLES.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

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