Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 221117
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
617 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS...DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL LEAD TO GUSTY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS
TODAY...WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 30 KTS THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH A LITTLE BETTER
CHANCE FOR SOME TO LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS COMPARED TO THE
PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS. WILL CARRY A VCTS MENTION AT KDHT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING WHERE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES APPEAR TO BE
THE GREATEST. CONFIDENCE ISN/T QUITE HIGH ENOUGH TO CARRY A MENTION
AT KAMA OR KGUY...BUT THIS POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

KB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 AM CDT FRI AUG 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED.  MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS HAVE
BEEN MADE IN SEVERAL PERIODS...BASED ON EXPECTED POSITIONS OF
INSTABILITY AXES AND OCCASIONAL WEAK TO MODERATE DYNAMICS.

VERY WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH SOME
LOCATIONS REACHING 100 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT.  WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVES INTO NORTHERN SECTIONS ON SUNDAY.  HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
90S ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WILL CONTINUE TO FORECAST FRONTAL PASSAGE TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH
NOTABLE RELIEF ON WEDNESDAY FROM RECENT WARMTH.  LOW POPS CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  LATER PERIODS KEPT DRY.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY DUE TO FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAINING ABOVE
20 PERCENT AND UNSUPPORTIVE FUELS.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

08/03




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