Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 242039
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
335 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MAJOR THEME OF THE FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED...WITH ONLY A FEW
TWEAKS TO POPS AND TEMPERATURES.  TRIPLE DIGIT HIGH TEMPERATURES
STILL EXPECTED MOST SECTIONS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

FRIDAY EVENING LOW POPS IN NORTHERN SECTIONS HAVE BEEN TRIMMED TO
INCLUDE ONLY THE NORTHWEST...WHERE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE EXPECTED IN
OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME.

HAVE INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN NORTHWEST SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
DUE TO CONTINUING PRESENCE OF WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...POPS COVER ALL SECTIONS.  HAVE INCREASED POPS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO EXPECTED UPSLOPE FLOW NORTH OF FRONT.  POPS
ON MONDAY HAVE BEEN INCREASED IN WESTERN SECTIONS...WHERE HIGHER
INSTABILITY EXPECTED TO BE POSITIONED.  MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT EXPECTED TO BE CHARACTERIZED BY DEEP RICH MOISTURE IN WARM AIR
ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT REGIME.  HAVE GENERALLY INCREASED POPS
DURING THESE PERIODS.  HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
HAVE BEEN LOWERED DUE TO EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT ACROSS MAINLY
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLES ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
MOIST FUELS SHOULD PRECLUDE ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
ELEVATED AND CRITICAL THRESHOLDS SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                70  98  70  99  71 /   0   0   0   5   5
BEAVER OK                  72 105  74 106  73 /   0   5   5  10  20
BOISE CITY OK              69 103  68 104  71 /   5  10  20  20  20
BORGER TX                  76 103  76 104  76 /   0   0   5   5  10
BOYS RANCH TX              72 102  71 104  70 /   0   0   5   5  10
CANYON TX                  68  98  68  98  68 /   0   0   0   5   5
CLARENDON TX               73 100  74 101  71 /   0   0   0   0   5
DALHART TX                 66 102  67 101  69 /   0   5   5  10  20
GUYMON OK                  72 104  71 104  74 /   0   5   5  20  20
HEREFORD TX                67  97  67  98  65 /   0   0   0   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                74 102  75 105  72 /   0   0   5   5   5
PAMPA TX                   71 101  72 103  71 /   0   0   0   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                74 101  75 103  72 /   0   0   0   0   5
WELLINGTON TX              74 102  73 104  74 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

05/03



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