Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KAMA 210346 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1046 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

.UPDATE...
CONVECTION HAS PUSHED EAST OF MOST OF THE PANHANDLES LATE THIS
EVENING. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN TX PANHANDLE
WILL PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT...WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT. UPDATED FORECAST TO REFLECT THESE TRENDS.

KB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 616 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014/

AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS THE PANHANDLES MAY AFFECT THE THREE TAF
SITES THROUGH 01Z TO 02Z MONDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ALONG
WITH SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS BECOMING NORTH BEHIND A COLD
FRONT LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH THE DALHART AND GUYMON TAF SITES AROUND 08Z TO 12Z
MONDAY...AND THEN ACROSS THE AMARILLO TAF SITE BY 14Z TO 15Z MONDAY.
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 25
KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS BEHIND THE FRONT AND THEN DIMINISHING TO 10
TO 15 KNOTS AFTER 20Z MONDAY.

SCHNEIDER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  HAVE INCREASED
POPS THIS EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...
CLOSER TO PROXIMITY OF INCOMING UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAK...IN REGION
OF GREATER INSTABILITY.  POPS AFTER MIDNIGHT HAVE BEEN TRIMMED TO
INCLUDE ONLY FAR EASTERN SECTIONS...AHEAD OF DEPARTING VORTICITY
MAXIMUM.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY EXPECTED TO BE DRY AND MILD.  LOW-LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF NEXT MID-LEVEL TROF.  WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON CHANCES FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN
INCREASED SLIGHTLY AND SPREAD A BIT FARTHER WEST DUE TO EXPECTED
POSITION OF DRYLINE.  WEDNESDAY EVENING POPS HAVE BEEN KEPT IN
EASTERN SECTIONS HAVE ALSO BEEN INCREASED SLIGHTLY...AND HAVE
ALSO BEEN SPREAD A BIT FARTHER WEST.

NO POPS IN REMAINDER OF FORECAST.  NO FREEZING TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TUESDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLES. ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLES. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
PANHANDLES.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/08





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.