Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KAMA 010725
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
225 AM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT IS MOVING SOUTH AT A FAIRLY GOOD CLIP THIS MORNING. FRONT
NOW LIES FROM THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO THE EASTERN
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE. WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE GUSTY RIGHT WITH THE
FRONT...BUT THEN THEY WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS. HAVE
GENERALLY USED THE FASTEST GFS MODEL FOR WINDS TODAY...BUT EVEN HAD
TO SPEED UP THE FRONT A LITTLE OVER THE GFS. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS STILL LOOK POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE EASTERN
PANHANDLES AS RETURN FLOW OVER THE FRONT HELPS TO BRING
INSTABILITY BACK TO THE AREA. THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE
NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE MAY HAVE THE BETTER SHOT OF RAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS THE INSTABILITY COMBINES WITH BETTER DYNAMICS.

HAVE INSERTED SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CWA FOR
TUESDAY AS MODELS INDICATE THAT THE OLD FRONT MAY STILL BE LINGERING
IN THIS AREA...ALSO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY POOL IN THIS AREA. A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO PASS OVER THIS AREA ON TUESDAY.

WILL LEAVE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY DRY AS UPPER HEIGHTS RISE WHEN THE
NOSE OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER THE AREA.

BY THURSDAY NIGHT ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA WHICH
COULD BE A FOCUS FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE
NORTH.

ON FRIDAY AND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND WE HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. THE UPPER HIGH SHIFTS OFF TO OUR EAST
AND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE FOUND ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS SHOULD BRING SUB
TROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BACK ACROSS THE PANHANDLES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THIS WEEK. THE LOWEST AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY GET DOWN
BELOW 20 PERCENT AND WINDS MAY GET GUSTY ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS
THE FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE FAR NORTHWEST TEXAS
PANHANDLE. BUT FUELS WILL REMAIN OUT OF CRITICAL RANGES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                95  66  93  68  93 /  10  10   5  10   5
BEAVER OK                  89  64  92  71  99 /  10  20  20  10   5
BOISE CITY OK              88  60  88  65  95 /   5  10   5   5   5
BORGER TX                  95  68  95  72  97 /   5  10   5  10   5
BOYS RANCH TX              95  65  93  69  95 /   5  10   5   5   5
CANYON TX                  96  66  93  67  93 /  10  10   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               99  68  95  68  94 /  10  20   5  10   5
DALHART TX                 93  62  91  64  96 /   5  10   5   5   5
GUYMON OK                  90  62  91  68  98 /   5  20   5  10   5
HEREFORD TX                97  64  93  65  93 /   5  10   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                91  66  93  71  95 /  10  20  20  10   5
PAMPA TX                   93  65  93  67  94 /  10  20  10  10   5
SHAMROCK TX                97  70  94  69  94 /  10  20  10  10   5
WELLINGTON TX              99  73  96  72  95 /  10  20  10  10   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/15



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.