000
FXUS64 KAMA 192228
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
528 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS NRN ZONES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL MEANDER OVER CNTRL PLAINS STATES THRU
MONDAY WITH MINOR EMBEDDED IMPULSES ROTATING ACROSS SRN HIGH PLAINS.
SLGT CHC POPS NRN ZONES THIS EVENING...MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ARE PLAUSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS TX AND OK PNHDLS MONDAY. KEPT
TUE AND WED DRY AT THIS TIME AS THIS UPPER LOW BEGINS MOVG EWD AND
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA BY LATE WED.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHOULD REMAIN OVER SRN HIGH PLAINS THU
AND THEN SLOWLY TRANSLATE EWD FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS A DEEP WRN
US TROF EVOLVES. RETAINED GENERAL POP STRUCTURE FROM THU THRU SAT
BASED ON LATEST MODEL PROGS. KEPT NON MENTIONABLE POPS FOR NEXT SAT
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. OVERALL...HAVE RETAINED INTEGRITY OF PREVIOUS FCST
PCKG.

ANDRADE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE RED FLAG
WARNING AREA THROUGH 9 PM THIS EVENING. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS PANHANDLE MONDAY DUE TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME
HIGHER GUSTS ALONG WITH FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF
10 TO 15 PERCENT. NEITHER ELEVATED NOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AT THIS TIME.

ANDRADE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                52  81  49  78  53 /   0   5  10   5   5
BEAVER OK                  52  79  50  79  51 /  20  20  20   5   5
BOISE CITY OK              47  76  46  75  49 /  20  20  20   5   5
BORGER TX                  56  81  52  80  56 /   5  10  10   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              51  81  48  78  52 /   0  10  10   5   5
CANYON TX                  51  81  49  78  52 /   0   5   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               55  87  53  81  55 /   0   5   5   5   5
DALHART TX                 47  77  46  77  49 /  10  10  20   5   5
GUYMON OK                  51  77  49  79  51 /  20  20  20   5   5
HEREFORD TX                50  82  48  78  51 /   0   5   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                52  80  51  79  52 /  20  10  20   5   5
PAMPA TX                   53  81  52  78  54 /   5   5  10   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                55  86  54  81  55 /   0   5  10   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              58  90  55  83  57 /   0   5   5   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF
     SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...
     RANDALL.

OK...NONE.

&&

$$