Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 262016
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
316 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A RATHER NICE DAY ACROSS THE PANHANDLES WILL TRANSLATE TO A RATHER
PLEASANT OVERNIGHT PERIOD. THE DRY AND MILD WEATHER PATTERN WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. SATURDAY MORNING COULD SEE
ANOTHER ROUND OF EARLY MORNING FOG BUT THIS SHOULDN`T LIMIT
VISIBILITIES GREATLY AND BE PATCHY AT BEST. A FEW HI-RES MODELS TRY
TO DEVELOP A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
DURING THE AFTERNOON. HAVE DECIDED TO LEAVE MENTION OUT OF THE
FORECAST FOR NOW AS THESE SHOWERS WOULD BE VERY BRIEF IF THEY FORM
AT ALL.

EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL SEE THE RETURN OF PRECIPITATION AS A CLOSED
UPPER LOW DIVES SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. RAIN
CHANCES WILL BEGIN MONDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AS STORMS MOVE IN FROM EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
RAIN CHANCES WILL EXPAND TO ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE PANHANDLES MONDAY
NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD.
MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR COULD ALLOW A FEW
STORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE. MODELS SHOW THIS FRONT
TO STALL ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AS THE UPPER LOW
EJECTS NORTHEASTWARD TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH THE FRONT STILL OVER THE AREA, WE
COULD SEE ADDITIONAL STORM CHANCES WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND PUSH THE STALLED FRONT WELL EASTWARD
BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. THIS
SECOND COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LOOKS TO BE DRY AS OF NOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                54  78  54  78  55 /   0  10   5   5   5
BEAVER OK                  58  84  59  84  60 /   0   5   5   5   5
BOISE CITY OK              54  82  55  81  56 /   0   5   5  10   5
BORGER TX                  58  81  60  82  61 /   0  10   5   5   5
BOYS RANCH TX              55  79  57  79  58 /   0  10   5   5   5
CANYON TX                  54  77  57  78  57 /   0  10   5   5   5
CLARENDON TX               57  80  59  82  59 /   0  10  10   5   5
DALHART TX                 53  81  56  81  56 /   0   5   5  10   5
GUYMON OK                  56  84  58  83  59 /   0   5   5   5   5
HEREFORD TX                54  77  57  78  57 /   0  10   5   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                57  81  59  83  60 /   0  10   5   5   5
PAMPA TX                   55  79  57  82  58 /   0  10   5   5   5
SHAMROCK TX                58  81  59  83  60 /   0  10   5   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              60  81  62  83  62 /   0  10  10   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

10/14





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