Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 220343
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1043 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016

.AVIATION...
06Z ISSUANCE...ALL SITES WILL REMAIN VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NOT
MUCH FOR CHANGES FROM 00Z ISSUANCE. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL
STRENGTHEN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE DAY. THESE WILL DROP TO
AOB 12KTS AFTER 00Z AND SWING A BIT TO THE SOUTHEAST.

BEAT

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 525 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016/

AVIATION...
00Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES. NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL DROP OFF TONIGHT TO AOB 8KTS. WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO
BE SOUTHWESTERLY BY 10Z TO 14Z AND RAMP UP A BIT TO 15KTS. CUMULUS
CLOUDS FORM AGAIN TOMORROW BUT NO EXPECTATION FOR THESE TO DEVELOP
INTO ANY PRECIP.

BEAT

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 240 PM CDT THU APR 21 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OFF TO OUR WEST WILL PROVIDE A BRIEF CHANGE
IN WEATHER FROM WHAT WE HAVE SEEN THE PAST FEW DAYS. MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND CALMER WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY
TODAY AND TOMORROW...BUT WE COULD SEE THE CLOUD COVER RETURN FROM
THE WEST ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALTHOUGH WE HAVE LEFT OUT
MENTION OF PRECIPITATION IN THE FAR NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT SOME SHOWERS
AND STORMS COULD MAKE IT INTO THE AREA. THE REASONING BEHIND THIS
DECISION IS THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED
WEAK STEERING FLOW.

SATURDAY WILL BE OUR NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PASSES TO OUR NORTH. CONDITIONS
SHOULD ONCE AGAIN CLEAR UP SATURDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT AND DRIER AIR PASS THROUGH.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT OUR AREA INTO THE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME...BUT MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL SKIP US AND FOR THE MOST PART WE
SHOULD STAY DRY.

15/LORENZEN

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                45  80  52  83  56 /   0   0   0  20  10
BEAVER OK                  44  80  55  86  58 /   0   0   0  20  10
BOISE CITY OK              42  78  52  83  49 /   0   5   5  20  10
BORGER TX                  48  80  55  85  59 /   0   5   0  20  10
BOYS RANCH TX              45  80  53  84  55 /   0   5   5  20  10
CANYON TX                  46  79  51  83  55 /   0   0   0  20   5
CLARENDON TX               47  80  53  84  58 /   0   0   0  10  10
DALHART TX                 43  79  51  84  51 /   0   5   5  20  10
GUYMON OK                  44  81  54  86  55 /   0   5   0  20  10
HEREFORD TX                45  79  52  82  54 /   0   0   0  20  10
LIPSCOMB TX                45  80  56  85  59 /   0   0   0  10  10
PAMPA TX                   46  80  53  84  57 /   0   0   0  20  10
SHAMROCK TX                47  79  53  84  58 /   0   0   0   5   5
WELLINGTON TX              48  80  53  85  59 /   0   0   0   5   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

16/14



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