Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 030931
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
431 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...SOME SEMBLANCE OF NW FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE. THIS PATTERN...COUPLED WITH LEFTOVER SFC BOUNDARIES FROM
LAST NIGHTS AND THIS MORNINGS TSTMS...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE...DAYTIME
HEATING AND ASSOCIATED ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY SHOULD RESULT IN ISOLD
TO SCT TSTMS TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN OF SERN CO AND
NERN NM...WHICH WILL LIKELY TRACK INTO OUR FCST AREA. ALSO...THERE
COULD BE SOME TSTM DEVELOPMENT IN THE OK AND TX PNHDLS AS WELL LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SLGT CHC TO CHC POPS WERE UTILIZED FOR
THE FIRST TWO PERIODS OF THIS FCST PCKG.

THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING ISOLD TSTMS SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...
IT APPEARS MOST OF INDEPENDENCE DAY AND NIGHT WILL BE GENERALLY DRY
ACROSS THE FCST AREA. DITTO FOR SUNDAY AS WELL.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN IS
PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS THE TX AND OK PNHDLS MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT
IN ANOTHER THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT THRU
MONDAY NIGHT...WITH LINGERING POPS FOR TUE AND TUE NIGHT. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO AND WERE
ACCEPTED.

NUMERICAL WEATHER MODELS SUGGEST THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL EXPAND
EWD TO ENCOMPASS MORE OF THE SRN PLAINS DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PART OF NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE...HAVE KEPT THE FCST DRY FROM NEXT
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AT THIS TIME.

ANDRADE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                88  66  92  68  92 /  30  30  20  10   5
BEAVER OK                  90  66  94  70  95 /  30  20  20  20   5
BOISE CITY OK              87  64  91  65  93 /  30  40  20  20   5
BORGER TX                  92  68  94  71  94 /  30  30  20  20   5
BOYS RANCH TX              90  65  93  67  93 /  30  40  20  10   5
CANYON TX                  88  66  92  67  91 /  30  30  20  10   5
CLARENDON TX               90  68  93  70  93 /  30  30  20  10   5
DALHART TX                 89  65  93  66  93 /  30  40  20  20   5
GUYMON OK                  90  66  94  69  96 /  30  30  20  20   5
HEREFORD TX                88  65  92  66  91 /  30  40  20  10   5
LIPSCOMB TX                90  66  93  70  94 /  30  20  20  20   5
PAMPA TX                   89  66  92  69  92 /  30  30  20  20   5
SHAMROCK TX                91  68  93  71  93 /  30  30  20  20   5
WELLINGTON TX              92  70  94  72  94 /  30  30  20  20   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$







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