Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS La Crosse, WI

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IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-211200-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
921 AM CST SAT MAY 16 2015

...DRYNESS CONTINUES IN SOME AREAS...

SYNOPSIS...

DESPITE RECENT RAINS, 2 TO 6 INCH PRECIPITATION DEFICITS /SINCE
NOVEMBER 1 2014/ STILL EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
NORTHEAST IOWA...AND IN SOUTHWEST...WEST-CENTRAL...AND NORTH-CENTRAL
WISCONSIN.  DUE TO THIS SOME PARTS OF THESE AREAS ARE STILL IN
EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ OR MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/.

FROM APRIL THROUGH JULY...NOAA/S CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/S DROUGHT
SEASONAL FORECAST IS CALLING FOR THE DROUGHT TO CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH
OF MINNESOTA AND SOUTH DAKOTA...THE EASTERN QUARTER OF NORTH
DAKOTA... AND FROM NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...SOUTHEAST INTO EAST-CENTRAL
WISCONSIN... AND FURTHER EXPANSION OF THE DROUGHT IS EXPECTED ACROSS
MUCH OF MICHIGAN...SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE SPRING AND EARLY SUMMER.  THEIR FORECAST
BELOW IS BASED UPON A WEAK EL NINO AND ABNORMALLY-WARM WATERS IN THE
NORTHEAST PACIFIC

IN THE MAY 12TH RELEASE OF THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...MODERATE /D1/
TO SEVERE /D2/ DROUGHT WAS FOUND ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA.  MODERATE /D1/ DROUGHT WAS REPORTED ACROSS
NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...AND
NORTHERN WISCONSIN.  ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST...NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST IOWA...NORTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...MUCH OF MICHIGAN...NORTHEAST
OHIO...AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

LOCAL AREA AFFECTED.

ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ TO MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ ARE FOUND IN ALL OR
PARTS OF TAYLOR COUNTY IN NORTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

NO DROUGHT TO MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ ARE FOUND IN ALL OR PARTS OF
DODGE...OLMSTED...AND WABASHA COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND
BUFFALO COUNTY IN WEST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ CONDITIONS ARE FOUND IN ALL OR PARTS OF
ALLAMAKEE AND CLAYTON COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST IOWA...AND MOWER COUNTY
IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND ADAMS...CLARK...CRAWFORD...GRANT...
JACKSON... JUNEAU...RICHLAND...TREMPEALEAU...AND VERNON COUNTIES IN
WESTERN WISCONSIN.

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.

NO KNOWN ACTIONS ARE CURRENTLY TAKING PLACE.

FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.

AS OF THE MORNING OF MAY 16TH...MODERATE FIRE DANGER WAS REPORTED IN
ADAMS AND JUNEAU COUNTIES IN WESTERN WISCONSIN.

LOW FIRE DANGER WAS REPORTED IN DODGE...FILLMORE...HOUSTON...MOWER...
OLMSTED...WABASHA...AND WINONA COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND IN
BUFFALO...CLARK...CRAWFORD...GRANT...JACKSON...LA CROSSE...MONROE...
RICHLAND...TAYLOR...TREMPEALEAU...AND VERNON COUNTIES IN WISCONSIN.

AS A REMINDER...CITIZENS SHOULD ALWAYS CHECK WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS IN
THEIR AREA BEFORE UNDERTAKING ANY OUTSIDE BURNING.  CITIZENS ARE
LIABLE FOR DAMAGES AND SUPPRESSION COSTS OF ANY WILDFIRE THEY MAY
START.

RIVER AND STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS.

RECENT DRYNESS HAS CAUSED PORTIONS OF THE BLACK...KICKAPOO...LA
CROSSE...TURKEY...UPPER IOWA...AND VOLGA TO DROP TO LESS THAN 20
PERCENT OF CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL.

CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY...

THROUGH MUCH OF THE 2014-15 WINTER...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEPT MUCH
OF MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN DRY. THIS TREND CONTINUED INTO THE SPRING
OF 2015. THIS ALLOWED THE PRECIPITATION DEFICITS TO BUILD INTO 2 TO
4 INCH RANGE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND WEST-CENTRAL
AND NORTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN...AND FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS
SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.  THIS RESULTED IN ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ TO
MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ACROSS THESE AREAS.

THE CPC SEASONAL OUTLOOK FOR SUMMER OF 2015 CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES
OF BELOW-...NEAR-...AND ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.
THEIR FORECAST BELOW IS BASED UPON A WEAK EL NINO AND ABNORMALLY-
WARM WATERS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

FROM MAY 16TH THROUGH MAY 22ND...BOTH TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION
WILL AVERAGE NEAR-NORMAL.  DURING THIS TIME FRAME...THE DAILY AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 56 TO 61 DEGREES AND THE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS AROUND 9 TENTHS OF AN INCH.

FROM MAY 23RD THROUGH MAY 29TH...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/
IS FORECASTING NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION.  DURING THIS TIME FRAME...THE DAILY AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 58 TO 63 DEGREES AND THE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS AROUND 8 TENTHS OF AN INCH.

THE CPC SEASONAL OUTLOOK FOR SUMMER OF 2015 CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES
OF BELOW-...NEAR-...AND ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.
THEIR FORECAST BELOW IS BASED UPON A WEAK EL NINO AND ABNORMALLY-
WARM WATERS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

RECENT DRYNESS HAS CAUSED PORTIONS OF THE BLACK...KICKAPOO...LA
CROSSE...TURKEY...UPPER IOWA...AND VOLGA TO DROP TO LESS THAN 20
PERCENT OF CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL.

THE CPC SEASONAL OUTLOOK FOR MAY THROUGH JULY OF 2015 CALLS FOR
BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF MINNESOTA AND FROM
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN SOUTHEAST INTO EAST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN...AND
FURTHER EXPANSION OF THE DROUGHT ACROSS MICHIGAN...PARTS OF
WISCONSIN...AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE SPRING
AND EARLY SUMMER.  THEIR FORECAST BELOW IS BASED UPON A WEAK EL NINO
AND ABNORMALLY-WARM WATERS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON THURSDAY MAY 21ST.

.RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL DROUGHT SITE...
   HTTP//WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/ARX/?N=DROUGHT
LOCAL DROUGHT MONITORING SITE...
   HTTP//WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/ARX/?N=DROUGHTMONITORING
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
   HTTP//WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...
   HTTP//WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/
MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER /MRCC/...
   HTTP//MCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/INDEX.JSP
ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...
   NWS - HTTP//WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
   USGS - HTTP//WATER.USGS.GOV/
   COE - HTTP//WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
   CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...
      HTTP//WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...
USDA...COE AND USGS.

.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT...

JEFFREY BOYNE
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
N2788 COUNTY ROAD FA
LA CROSSE WI 54601-3038

TELEPHONE 608-784-8275
E-MAIL JEFF.BOYNE@NOAA.GOV
$$

BOYNE



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